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Premier League Darts: Chris Dobey vs Nathan Aspinall Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Thursday 1st May 2025 Start time: 7:45 pm local time Venue: Ultilita Arena, Birmingham Last meeting: April 17, 2025, Premier League Night 11, Chris Dobey 6-2 Nathan Aspinall Nathan Aspinall and Chris Dobey play darts on Night 13 of the Premier League Darts as they face off in the second quarter-final match.

Henry Cheal

Sports Writer

Last Updated: 2025-04-21

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Content Manager

5 minutes read

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Chris Dobey of England//Getty Images

Table of Contents

Nathan Aspinall and Chris Dobey play darts on Night 13 of the Premier League as they face off in the second quarter-final match. These two stablemates will be looking to one-up each other as both players aim for a playoff spot. Aspinall and Dobey won on Nights 10 and 11, respectively. Which player carry that momentum further into this matchup?

SportsBoom is the best in the business for all things darts. This preview will look into multiple things, focusing on recent head-to-head matches, as well as sharing valuable information about both players, before disclosing the best-value bets and sharing our conclusions.

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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Rob Cross: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.7%
Michael van Gerwen: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

Chris Dobey stopped the rot against Nathan Aspinall only a couple of weeks ago on Night 11 of the Premier League, defeating him 6-2. This victory must have given him another layer of confidence as he went on to win the Night.

Prior to this, perhaps surprisingly given their places in the Order of Merit table and frequency of events, they have met only five times in the last two years. Aspinall won four in a row in a variety of different formats, establishing his dominance.

Last Five Matches

Tournament	Stage	Score line
2025 Premier League Night 11	Semi-finals	Chris Dobey 6-2 Nathan Aspinall
2025 Premier League Night 4	Quarterfinals	Nathan Aspinall 6-5 Chris Dobey
2024 Players Championship Finals	Last 32	Nathan Aspinall 6-1 Chris Dobey
2023 World Matchplay	Quarterfinals	Nathan Aspinall 16-12 Chris Dobey
2023 Premier League Night 9	Quarterfinals	Nathan Aspinall 6-4 Chris Dobey

Player Career Timeline

Nathan Aspinall

Current Ranking: 8
Premier League best result: Runners-up (2020)

Nathan Aspinall is arguably in the best form in a long time. He made it to the Premier League, which was seen as a controversial move, but he has silenced the critics and exceeded expectations.

He is currently third in the league before Week 12 gets underway and has won his first European Tour title. Aspinall is well and truly back in the mix and should be seen as one of the best in the world behind Luke Humphries and Luke Littler.

2025 Premier League results:

Night 1 (Belfast) – Quarter-Final
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarter-Final
Night 3 (Dublin) – Runners-Up
Night 4 (Exeter) – Semi-Final
Night 5 (Brighton) – Runners-Up
Night 6 (Nottingham) Quarter-Final
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Quarter-Final
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Semi-Final
Night 9 (Berlin) – Quarter-Final
Night 10 (Manchester) – Winner
Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Semi-Final

Last 5 TV Tournament Runs:

2025 UK Open – Quarterfinalist
2025 Winmau World Masters – Quarterfinalist
2025 World Darts Championship – Quarterfinalist
2024 Players Championship Finals – 2nd Round
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Did Not Qualify

Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs:

2025 Players Championship 13 – Final
2025 International Darts Open – Final
2025 Players Championship 10 – Last 128
2025 Players Championship 9 – Last 32
2025 European Darts Trophy – Winner

Chris Dobey

Current Ranking: 9
Premier League best result: 7th (2023)

2025 Premier League results:

Night 1 (Belfast) – Runners-Up
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarterfinalist
Night 3 (Dublin) – Quarterfinalist
Night 4 (Exeter) – Quarterfinalist
Night 5 (Brighton) – Quarterfinalist
Night 6 (Nottingham) – Quarterfinalist
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Semi-finalist
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Quarterfinalist
Night 9 (Berlin) – Semi-finalist
Night 10 (Manchester) – Quarterfinalist
Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Winner

Chris Dobey made it to his first final since Week 1 of the Premier League in Rotterdam, going on to win the Night and pick up his first of this year’s campaign. His perseverance should be commended, as he notched up three 100+ averages to win in the Dutch crowd.

Aside from this, his form has been relatively consistent, but this Nightly win will be on his mind for the rest of the campaign to serve as a reminder that he can defeat the best players in the world. Dobey will hope to continue the momentum going as he is right back in contention for sealing a spot in the top four.

Last 5 TV Tournament runs:

2025 UK Open – 5th Round
2025 Winmau World Masters – 1st Round
2025 World Darts Championship – Semi-Final
2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Did Not Qualify

Last 5 Non-TV Tournament runs:

2025 Players Championship 14 – Last 16
2025 Players Championship 13 – Last 64
2025 Players Championship 12 – Last 128
2025 Players Championship 11 – Last 16
2025 International Darts Open – Last 32

Value Bets

Nathan Aspinall – Highest Checkout: One of Nathan Aspinall’s specialities is sealing a high checkout in crucial moments. His bottle, his drive and willingness to succeed are admirable, and this is reflected in securing high checkouts.
Chris Dobey – Highest 180s: Chris Dobey can be a heavy hitter when he’s on song and comfortable on the big stage, leaving us to predict he could come out on top here. His 14 180s in his Nightly win success are proof of this.
Total 180s – Over 5.0: SportsBoom predicts both players to turn up and show off their capabilities, leaving us to predict over 5 180s. Let’s be honest, the format makes the prediction tricky, but we believe 5 is a reasonable number that both players should craft together.

Prediction: Chris Dobey to Win

It’s a tough one to predict since both players are coming back to form at the right time, but SportsBoom concludes this preview, predicting Chris Dobey to win. This matchup should be a very close battle, leaving us to assume Dobey will get over the line.

Henry ChealSports Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.