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Nathan Aspinall vs Luke Humphries Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Thursday’s (6th February) action continues with Nathan Aspinall up against Luke Humphries. With the ease and convenience of online betting available to you, make sure you place your bets early!

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last Updated: 2025-02-06

Chad Nagel

3 minutes read

Luke Humphries of England kisses the trophy

Luke Humphries of England kisses the trophy//Getty Images

Luke Humphries certainly comes into this match with a superior confidence, but he will know that he needs to put down an early marker in Belfast. He has just won the World Masters and is still the world number one player – it’s no secret that Nathan Aspinall will have his hands full here. 

SportsBoom unpacks everything you need to know ahead of this clash, we even provide you with our Aspinall vs Humphries prediction! 

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Online sports betting sites are backing the former World Champion to find another victory.

  1. Nathan Aspinall: 12/5 (3.4) – 27%

  2. Luke Humphries: 3/10 (1.3) – 73%

Head-To-Head Record

Last three meetings (All competition)

  1. 17/01/2025: Humphries 6–5 Aspinall

  2. 25/10/2024: Humphries 6–2 Aspinall

  3. 25/09/2024: Humphries 6–4 Aspinall

  4. 02/06/2024: Humphries 6–5 Aspinall

  5. 25/04/2024: Humphries 2–6 Aspinall

Nathan Aspinall Current Form – LWWLL

You have to feel for Nathan Aspinall, a lot of the talk around his inclusion has has been questioned. Many fans and so-called punters have suggested the previous runner-up and World Championship final eight player has seen inclusion thanks to the popularity of his walk-out song!

Aspinall will know that he has to essentially be very close to perfect should he hope to stand a chance against Humphries. His start will need to be really tight and clinical, because if he gives away too much early on we don’t think he can get back into the match.

Nathan Aspinall News

Nathan Aspinall has had enough of talking about Mike De Decker. Ahead of his clash with the former World Champion, Luke Humphries, Aspinall reiterated that the only thing that matters to him is ensuring he lands as many points as possible during the tournament!

Luke Humphries Current Form – WWWWW

Humphries has had to endure a start to the year which has largely seen Luke Littler enjoy all of the plaudits. Having seen his World Championship title claimed by Littler, Humphries will surely be looking to return to his level best here. 

In his second Premier League event, Humphries will no doubt be oozing confidence. Fresh from his Masters win over Jonny Clayton, you can’t help but get the feeling that for Humphries, his massive comeback win to claim the Masters title was the boost he needed.

Luke Humphries News

Humphries has disclosed that he has incorporated subtle changes to his game, all in an effort to ensure he remains ahead of Luke Littler in the rankings. Humphries has again reminded the media that whilst the Premier League is important, the entire season must remain relevant.

Suggested Bets

These are our suggested bets for this darts encounter! 

  1. Match Winner: This isn’t going to be the most exciting pick, but we can’t see past a Humphries win. 3/10 (1.3) with 1xBet and Betway.

  2. Luke Humphries (-1.5) Legs Handicap: It is the sort of prediction which is as aggressive as Luke is likely to be! 1/1 (2.0) with 1xBet.

  3. Luke Humphries (Most 180s): A safer option for punter, but one that still yields incredible value. 8/10 (1.8) with 1xBet and Stake.

Value Bets

  1. Highest Checkout (Humphries): His aggressive nature will no doubt manifest itself through closing out some seriously impressive checkouts! 14/25 (1.56) with Pinnacle.

  2. Total 180s: We are backing over 7.5 180s here. They are both capable players, but in Humphries you have someone known to attack the maximum on every leg. 7/10 (1.7) with Betway.

  3. Humphries Total 180s: A little more risk, but enough reward to justify the thinking! Humphries to close out over 5.5 180s is a banker value bet for us. 6/10 (1.6) with 1xBet and Stake 

Prediction: Luke Humphries Win

Aspinall has been in really poor form in recent months and as previously mentioned, had to deal with the added scrutiny of those suggesting his involvement in the tournament didn’t make sense. 

Does that possibly provide him with a chip on his shoulder to attack the game and chase something to prove? Possibly. However, Humphries is simply too good and our pick to walk away with victory here.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertySports Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.

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