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Nathan Aspinall vs Michael van Gerwen Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Start Time: 18h45 (UK Time) Venue: Nottingham It is night six of the Premier League Darts and Nathan Aspinall faces off against Michael van Gerwen. Mighty Mike will be looking to secure his spot in the semi-final of the tournament, but Nathan Aspinall has impressed so far and will be a steady test for Van Gerwen here. There is certainly a lot on the line, the winner is likely to go on to face either Stephen Bunting or Gerwen Price, but for the loser – they could fall out of the competition completely. For those looking to place a bet on this high-stakes clash, our guide to the best darts betting sites breaks down the top platforms offering odds on Premier League Darts.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last Updated: 2025-03-13

Chad Nagel

4 minutes read

Michael van Gerwan

Michael van Gerwan//Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Nathan Aspinall: 23/20 (2.3) – 42%

  2. Michael van Gerwen: 61/100 (1.61) – 58%

Head-To-Head Record

Last three meetings (All competition)

  1. 21/02/2025: Aspinall 6–3 Van Gerwen

  2. 11/04/2024: Van Gerwen 6–4 Aspinall

  3. 23/02/2024: Aspinall 4–6 Van Gerwen

Nathan Aspinall Current Form – LLWWL

Nathan Aspinall started this tournament quite slowly, losing his first two matches. However, his response to that start has been incredible. Since then, he has reached two finals, which includes his most recent win over Luke Littler. 

He now sits in third place on the Premier League darts table, albeit five points behind Littler in second and seven from Humphries out in first. Aspinall is level on points with van Gerwen, but edges him due to the number of matches won. 

Nathan Aspinall News

Ranked inside the world’s top ten players, Aspinall will be looking to solidify his name in history by ensuring he is able to get over the line and capture success here. Interestingly, Damon Heta (a fellow darts professional) recently included Aspinall in his 5-a-side dream team – but also commented that he needed to find confidence in his ability.

Michael van Gerwen Current Form – LWWWW

There isn’t too much you can say about Mighty Mike van Gerwen. He really has done it all! He has won this competition on seven occasions already and will be pumped to see himself to an eighth title. 

This season, he has only lost one quarter-final, but he has been unable to get through many semi-finals, losing four. His loss last time out to Luke Littler seemed a little too routine and he will surely be wanting to make a statement here once again. 

Michael van Gerwen News

Michael van Gerwen is without question a darts legend. However, in recent weeks there has been a lot of talk around whether or not the veteran player is able to keep up with a demanding schedule. 

Another Dutch legend, Raymond van Barneveld, attributed his decline in form to this very reason. 

Suggested Bets

These are our suggested bets for this darts encounter! 

  1. Match Winner (Michael van Gerwen): Despite his inconsistencies recently, his experience and ability make him a worthy favourite and we back him to find the win here 61/100 (1.61) with Betway. 

  2. Over 9.5 Legs in the Match: We expect a close encounter here and so it will be no surprise to see the maximum number of legs in this encounter. 82/100 (1.82) with 1xBet.

  3. Over 7.5 180s in the Match: Given that both players are often happy to attack the maximum, back over 7.5 180s in this one.  1/1 (2.0) with Pinnacle.

Value Bets

  1. 180s Handicap (-1.5 Van Gerwen): Van Gerwen’s scoring prowess makes us believe that he will easily overcome the spread here. 12/10 (2.2) with Stake.

  2. King of the Oche (Van Gerwen): One for the risk takers, back Van Gerwen here. 5/1 (6.0) with Stake.

  3. Highest Checkout + Most 180s (Van Gerwen): Combine these two high-end aspects to take advantage of incredible value. 39/10 (4.9) with Betway. 

Prediction: Michael van Gerwen to Win

Michael van Gerwen hasn’t been consistent at all this season, but his ability and big match temperament suggest you would be foolish to simply swat aside his chances. He has been here before and done it – and we think he begins to do it again.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertySports Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.

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