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Premier League Darts: Luke Humphries vs Rob Cross Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Thursday 6th March 2025 Start time: 8:10 pm local time Venue: Brighton Centre, Brighton, England Last meeting: February 27, 2025 Premier League Night 4, Luke Humphries 6-5 Rob Cross Luke Humphries and Rob Cross meet for the third quarter-final match of the evening on Night 5 of the Premier League.

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal

Last Updated: 2025-03-05

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

Luke Humphries of England

Luke Humphries of England//Getty Images

Luke Humphries and Rob Cross meet for the third quarter-final match of the evening on Night 5 of the Premier League. The world number one and the world number four have both racked up titles this year and both meet up for the second time within a week. Cross will be looking to prevail and cause Humphries to lose at the first hurdle for the first time in this year’s competition.

We also touch on their latest head-to-head results before presenting our value bets, helping you make informed picks through the best online sports betting bookmakers. 

SportsBoom offers an in-depth preview on both players ahead of this Premier League of Darts clash. We will analyse their recent form in televised majors and on the floor. We also touch on their latest head-to-head results before presenting our value bets.

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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Rob Cross: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.45%

  2. Luke Humphries: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.73%

  3. Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event 

Head-to-Head Record 

Luke Humphries and Rob Cross have met on many occasions in recent years, in multiple Players Championship and European Tour finals. Both players bring the best out of each other and this is evident due to both players averaging impressive numbers in these games.

Across the last 12 months, Cross has the upper hand over the world number one, winning in two World Series events and a European Tour final. However, Humphries and Cross have played against each other in this year’s Premier League already, where Humphries won the semi-final matchup last week. 

Last Three Matches

TournamentStageScore line
2025 Premier League Darts Night 4SemifinalsLuke Humphries 6-5 Rob Cross
2024 Nordic Darts Masters SemifinalsRob Cross 7-4 Luke Humphries
2024 US Darts MastersSemifinalsRob Cross 7-5 Luke Humphries
2024 European Tour 6 FinalRob Cross 8-6 Luke Humphries
2024 Premier League Darts Night 15QuarterfinalsLuke Humphries 6-1 Rob Cross
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Player Career Timeline

Luke Humphries

  • Current Ranking: 1
  • Premier League best result: Runners-up (2024)

2025 Premier League results

  • Night 1 (Belfast) – Winner
  • Night 2 (Glasgow) – Final
  • Night 3 (Dublin) – Semi Final
  • Night 4 (Exeter) – Winner

The 2025 Premier League table topper is Luke Humphries, who has racked up 15 points so far this campaign, almost double more than his closest rival Luke Littler. The Newbury-born star has won two nights, finished as runner-up on another, and secured just one win in a different week, showcasing truly dominant form. 

Humphries is in good form, winning two majors from his last five. His victories at the Players Championship Finals and the Winmau World Masters show that he is arguably the best in the world at the minute.

Last 5 TV Tournament Runs

  • 2025 UK Open – Quarterfinalist
  • 2025 Winmau World Masters – Winner
  • 2025 World Darts Championship – 4th Round
  • 2024 Players Championship Finals – Winner
  • 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin

Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs

  • 2025 Players Championship 1 - Semi-finalist
  • 2024 Czech Open – Winner
  • 2024 Players Championship 28 – Last 64
  • 2024 Players Championship 27 – Last 16
  • 2024 Players Championship 26 – Winner 2024 Players Championship 27 – Last 64

Rob Cross

  • Current Ranking: 4
  • Premier League best result: Runners-up (2019)

2025 Premier League results

  • Night 1 (Belfast) – Semi Final
  • Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarter Final
  • Night 3 (Dublin) – Quarter Final
  • Night 4 (Exeter) – Semi Final

Rob Cross is one of three players to not reach a final yet in this year’s Premier League, joining Michael van Gerwen and Stephen Bunting. Cross came close last week in Exeter but lost out in a last leg decider to this week’s opponent Humphries, but his form isn’t too bad and should make an appearance sooner or later.

Cross won the first-floor event of the year to win Players Championship 1, but he is lacking consistency both on the big stage and on the floor. Cross won two games in the UK Open to make the 6th round/last 16, but aside from that, hasn’t won in a televised major since his quarter-final run in the 2024 Grand Slam of Darts. 

Last 5 TV Tournament Runs

  • 2025 UK Open – 6th Round
  • 2025 Winmau World Masters – 1st Round
  • 2025 World Darts Championship – 2nd Round
  • 2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
  • 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Quarterfinalist

Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs

  • 2025 Players Championship 4 - Last 64
  • 2025 Players Championship 3 – Quarterfinals
  • 2025 Players Championship 2 – Last 128
  • 2025 Players Championship 1 – Winner
  • 2024 Players Championship 30 - Last 128

Value Bets

  1. Rob Cross – Highest Checkout: A part of his game that goes under the radar is his checkouts. Rob Cross loves making the most of the dartboard by expressing his true ability by taking out big checkouts in unconventional ways, therefore, we predict him to complete another one. 

  2. Luke Humphries – Highest 180s: Both players are big hitters in this game and always love to put pressure on each other with their scoring power. However, Luke Humphries will likely edge it on this one, as he is the only one of the two to compile the most on a given night in this year’s competition. 

  3. Total 180s: Over 5.5: SportsBoom predicts this game to have over 5.5 maximums. This matchup went all the way last week as both players competed in 11 total legs, therefore, we could see a similar result given how much both like to push each other to their limits. Based on this idea, our expectation sees over 5.5 thrown.

Prediction: Luke Humphries to win 

In conclusion, SportsBoom predicts Luke Humphries to prevail. Cross may have the upper hand in the recent head-to-head matches, but Humphries looks unstoppable in this tournament so far. Based on this, we believe he will be too hard to stop. 

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.

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