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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: 16 March 2025 Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitana Kick-off (UK Time): 20:00 Atletico Madrid host Barcelona in LaLiga at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium on Sunday, 16 March 2025. It is a massive clash at the top of the table as two old foes lock horns. There is plenty of value to be found for the LaLiga betting fans to take advantage of!

Thierry Henry
Nigel Naicker

Last Updated: 2025-03-13

Chad Nagel

4 minutes read

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Jules Kounde and Conor Gallaghe

Jules Kounde and Conor Gallaghe//Getty Images

With just a point separating these two heading into the game on Sunday, this promises to be a heated encounter at Atletico’s fortress, the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Diego Simeone’s side ran out 2-1 at the Camp Nou back in December and have the chance to claim a league double over the league leaders at their home stadium. 

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Here is a breakdown of the pre-match betting odds for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: 

  1. Home: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%

  2. Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

  3. Away: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

  4. Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid

  1. 21/12/24 – Barcelona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

  2. 17/03/24 – Atletico Madrid 0-3 Barcelona 

  3. 03/12/23 – Barcelona 1-0 Atletico Madrid

  4. 23/04/23 – Barcelona 1-0 Atletico Madrid

  5. 08/01/23 – Atletico Madrid 0-1 Barcelona 

Atletico Madrid Current Form – DDWWL

Simeone’s side were unbeaten in their previous four games before a shock defeat at the hands of Getafe made a dent in their title ambitions. They also lost to bitter rivals Real Madrid in the Champions League which could further dampen the mood in the camp. 

Julian Alvarez

Julian Alvarez//Getty Images

Key Players to watch

  • Julian Alvarez: The former Manchester City forward has become one of the main men for Simeone’s side. The Argentine forward has recorded 10 goals and two assists in 27 LaLiga games this season. 
  • Antoine Griezmann: The Frenchman is ageing like fine wine at Atletico Madrid. A key cog in the team, the forward has 13 goal contributions for his side in LaLiga this campaign. 
  • Angel Correa: The Argentine is a solid performer for Rojiblancos. The right-winger has featured 23 times in LaLiga and has four goal contributions to his name. 

Atletico Madrid Team News

Koke remains a long-term absentee while Cesar Azpilicueta has been given the greenlight to return to first-team action. 

Barcelona Current Form – WWWWW

It is a perfect record for Barcelona over their previous five games. Form that has seen the Catalan club keep the chasing pack at bay. Hansi Flick has turned them into an entertaining team that outscores their opponents at will. 

Pedri of FC Barcelona

Pedri of FC Barcelona//Getty Images

Key Players to watch

  • Robert Lewandowski: The Polish international has reminded us this season why he is one of the most lethal strikers in the world. Lewandowski has bagged 21 goals in 25 LaLiga appearances for the Catalan team. 
  • Lamine Yamal: The teenager continues to impress in a Barcelona jersey. Yamal is extremely technically gifted and has been one of the best players for Flick’s side this campaign. 
  • Raphinha: In 26 LaLiga appearances, the Brazilian has 20 goal contributions. He is also one of the best performers in the Champions League this season. 

Barcelona Team News

The visitors will still be without Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Marc Bernal who both have long-term knee injuries. Gavi will also be fit for the tie after recovering from illness midweek. 

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Musso, Molina, Gimenez, Le Normand, Galan, Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino, Griezmann, Alvarez

  2. Barcelona (4-5-1): Szczesny, Kounde, Arujo, Martinez, Balde, Olmo, De Jong, Pedri, Yamal, Raphinha, Lewandowski 

Suggested Bets

Looking for reliable online betting sites​ for to place your wagers with? Check out some of these football betting offers from the sportsbooks below! 

  1. Both Teams to Score (Yes): These two clashed in the Copa del Rey recently and the game finished 4-4 so expect goals on Sunday. (79/100 with Betway)

  2. Both Halves Over 0.5: As mentioned above, the talent on show in the final third is frightening (9/5 with Stake)

Value Bets

Here are some value bets to add to your football betting strategies. With plenty of exciting fixtures coming up, these picks could offer a solid mix of risk and reward. 

  1. Draw: It will be a cagey affair come Sunday night and there is a lot riding on the result, back the draw. (9/4 with Betway)

  2. Anytime Goal Scorer (Robert Lewandowski): Back the Poland international to add to his tally of 21 goals in LaLiga this season. (2/1 with Stake)

Prediction: Draw

It will be a tightly contested affair at the Metropolitano on Sunday evening. Barcelona will want revenge for the reverse fixture while Atletico are difficult to beat at home. Considering that neither team will want to lose ground in the title race, this game could end in a draw. For those considering a wager on such a close contest, exploring a welcome bonus offer could add extra value to your bet.

Thierry Henry
Nigel NaickerBetting Writer

With a decade of sports writing expertise, Nigel Naicker has crafted compelling content across football leagues like the Premier League and UEFA Champions League, as well as cricket and UFC. A passionate storyteller since 2014, Nigel joins the SportsBoom team, ready to deliver insightful narratives across various sports disciplines.

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