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Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Preview: Tips, Odds and Prediction

Date: January 19, 2025 Kickoff Time: 16:15 Local Time (17:15 ET/07:00 PT) Venue: Santiago Bernabeu SportsBoom previews the match for sports bettors looking for the best Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Predictions. The first-round encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, and this was early in the season when Los Blancos was struggling to find its footing with new editions in the squad like Kylian Mbappe.

Jimmy Modise
Jimmy Modise

Last Updated: 2025-01-18

Chad Nagel

6 minutes read

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UD Las Palmas v Real Madrid CF - La Liga EA Sports

UD Las Palmas v Real Madrid CF - La Liga EA Sports//Getty Images

Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Preview

Following a disappointing loss in a cup final, Real Madrid will be looking to move on swiftly, but the opponents will not be a walkover. Earlier on in the season, Las Palmas nearly upset Real Madrid, having scored in the first five minutes of the game through Alberto Moleiro, only to be saved from their blemishes by Vinicius Junior’s equalizer in the 69th minute.

The circumstances might be different this time around at the Santiago Bernabeu, but the visitors will not succumb easy, noting their recent form, and this is despite their loss against Getafe in their first La Liga game of 2025.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Real Heavy Favourites

  1. Home: 13/100 (1.13) 88.5%

  2. Draw: 8/1 (9.0) 11.1%

  3. Away: 16/1 (17) 5.9%

  4. *Odds courtesy of Bet Tilt, subject to change

Head-to-Head record

Las Palmas held Carlo Ancelotti and his men to a 1-1 draw in the first round of the season, in what was a slow start for Real Madrid to the campaign. Overall, the home has a better record against the island team, with four wins and a draw in the five most recent games. 

Last 5 Meetings

  1. 29/08/24: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid

  2. 27/01/24: Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid

  3. 27/09/23: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas

  4. 31/03/18: Las Palmas 0-3 Real Madrid

  5. 05/11/17: Real Madrid 3-0 Las Palmas

Real Madrid Current Form - WWDWL

Second-placed Real Madrid have done well with three wins, a draw, and a solitary loss in five La Liga games and are only a point behind cross-town rivals Atletico Madrid in what promises to be a tight race for the crown this season. Ancelotti’s team has been competing on different fronts besides La Liga and are surging positively with a makeshift backline that has Tchouameni featuring alongside Rudiger.

At the time of writing, they have already played three times in 2025. Once in the Copa del Rey and twice in the Spanish Cup. All this, they have done with a rigorous travelling schedule, which has had them in the Middle East for some time at the start of the year.

Kylian Mbappe of Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe//Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Jude Bellingham: Despite not reaching the heights of last season, the Englishman remains a threat when on song. His ability to drive with the ball will be important in Madrid’s midfield.
  • Kylian Mbappe: Now more than ever and especially after a humiliating loss, Mbappe will have to step up and provide his team with an edge in the absence of Vinicius Junior.
  • Federico Valverde: With a similar playing style to Jude Bellingham’s, Fede Valverde’s driving runs and ability to shoot from a distance will give Las Palmas some problems.

Real Madrid Team News

Vinicius Junior will not feature in this game, having to serve some time on the sidelines because of suspension resulting from a red card in their 2-1 win over Valencia. Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal remain out for the rest of the season, nursing long-term injuries.

Las Palmas Current Form – LWDWW

Despite losing to Getafe 2-1 after putting in a valiant effort, Las Palmas have done well with a run similar to Madrid’s over five games. In their most recent loss, they were unfortunate not to get something out of the game, having had 63% ball possession, seven shots on targets, a missed penalty and fifteen overall goal attempts.

Substitute, Adnan Januzaj made a game out of the contest within minutes of coming on by reducing the goal deficit to one, but his efforts were not enough. Diego Martinez will be looking for a quick turnaround in results for his team, despite not being the favourites. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Juanma Herzog: Herzog will face formidable runners depending on how Madrid’s attackers will be switching wings on the day. He can run as fast as some of the attackers he will be facing and can make game deciding tackles.
  • Kirian Rodriguez: Despite not finding the back of the net this season, Rodriguez still contributes to goals, with three assists so far. The potential to score remains nonetheless, and he is one of the players likely to have a good run.
  • Adnan Januzaj: The Belgian’s introduction in the second half loss to Getafe gave his team a much-needed attacking impetus and nearly made a game out of the encounter with his late goal.

Las Palmas Team News

Jose Campana and Viti are not expected to feature in the game, with their return expected later in the month. No players are serving suspension. 

Predicted Line-ups

  1. Real Madrid: 4-2-3-1

    Courtois, Vazquez, Tchouameni, Rudiger, Mendy, Valverde, Ceballos, Rodrygo, Bellingham, Guler, Mbappe

  2. Las Palmas: 4-2-3-1

    Cillessen, Marmol, McKenna, Suarez, Herzog, Rodriguez, Essugo, Moleiro, Januzaj, Ramirez, Silva

Suggested Bets

Our suggested bets will go well together in one slip or a bet-builder as we believe they will result.

  1. Both Teams to Score – Yes: The first round’s result was a 1-1 draw wherein Palmas scored first, within six minutes of kickoff, and with their current form in La Liga, which is like Real Madrid’s, we predict a both teams to score result. (22/25 with BetWinner).

  2. Any Time Goal Scorer – Kylian Mbappe: Mbappe scoring in any game is more likely than not, especially so having rediscovered his form. The Frenchman has found the back of the net ten times already and will be playing a more prominent role in Vini’s absence. (1/2 with BetWinner).

  3. Goal in Both Halves – Yes: Their 1-1 draw in the first round had a goal in either half and for this encounter, we predict a similar result. (7/25 with BetWinner).

Value Bets

Take your pick in our carefully analyzed value bets to triple or even quadruple your money.

  1. First Half Las Palmas Total Goals – Over 0.5: Based on the first round’s result and Las Palmas’ overall recent form, which saw them score six goals in their last five games and against strong opposition such as Barcelona, we predict them to score at least one goal in the first half. (3/4 with N1Bet).

  2. First Goal Scorer – Kylian Mbappe: With Vinicius Junior out, Mbappe will be expected to lead the line in attack, with most opportunities likely to be given to him convert. Our prediction is thus an opening goal in the game by the lethal forward. (12/5 with N1Bet).

  3. First Half Last Palmas Total Goals (Exact) – 1 Goal: This bet is like the first value bet we proposed above. We believe Las Palmas have it in them to score in the first half against their hosts. (267/100 with N1Bet).

Prediction: Real Madrid Win and Both Teams to Score

Despite Real Madrid being the favourites to win the game and our prediction in that regard, their makeshift backline presents an opportunity for Las Palmas to score. We cannot therefore rule out a both teams to score market with Madrid’s win. (with BC.Game 27/20).

Jimmy Modise
Jimmy ModiseSports Writer

Based in Johannesburg, South Africa, Jimmy holds a Diploma in Journalism and Media Studies. He’s a passionate sports enthusiast with broad knowledge across various disciplines.

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