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Sevilla vs Valencia Preview: Tips, Odds, and Prediction

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025  Kick Off Time: 3:00 PM ET  Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville SportsBoom previews an exciting La Liga clash at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Saturday, January 11, 2025. Sevilla and Valencia have a rich history of competitive encounters in La Liga, with both teams boasting passionate fan bases and a strong desire for victory. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. For those interested in La Liga betting, we’ll provide you detailed odds and of this exciting matchup.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian Wanyeki

Last Updated: 2025-01-09

Chad Nagel

8 minutes read

Loic Bade and Diego Lopez

Loic Bade and Diego Lopez//Getty Images

Sevilla vs Valencia Match Preview

Both teams come into this match with varying degrees of urgency, as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Sevilla sits in 14th place with 22 points after 18 matches, just narrowly avoiding the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, reflecting the team's ongoing challenges this season. Valencia finds themselves in an even more precarious position, languishing in 19th place with just 12 points, making this match a potential six-pointer in the battle for survival. 

For Sevilla, a victory could provide crucial breathing room and lift them away from the relegation battle. For Valencia, this is nothing short of a must-win encounter; a loss could further cement their position at the bottom of the table and potentially increase the pressure on their management and players.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Sevilla Clear Favorites

  1. Sevilla: 49/50 (1.98) - 50.5%

  2. Draw: 47/20 (3.35) - 29.9%

  3. Valencia: 151/50 (4.02) - 24.9%

  4. *Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change

Head-to-Head Record

Here are some of their recent La Liga encounters:

  1. 17/02/2024: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla

  2. 11/08/2023: Sevilla 1-2 Valencia

  3. 16/04/2023: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla

  4. 18/10/2022: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia

  5. 19/01/2022: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla Current Form – WDLWL

Sevilla's current form, represented by the sequence WDLWL, reflects a team grappling with inconsistency as they navigate a challenging season.

Currently, the team is positioned 14th in La Liga, with a record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses. This standing reflects not only their fluctuating form but also defensive vulnerabilities, as evidenced by conceding 27 goals while scoring only 20.

The recent performances suggest that while Sevilla has the potential to compete, they struggle to maintain momentum and consistency. To improve their league position, Sevilla must find a way to turn draws into wins and minimize losses. 

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Key Players to Watch

  • Dodi Lukebakio: A dynamic and versatile forward, Dodi Lukebakio has been a standout performer for Sevilla this season, currently leading the team's scoring charts with 8 goals in La Liga. In the upcoming match against Valencia, Lukebakio's will be crucial for Sevilla's attacking fluidity. He will be a key player to watch as they look to secure a vital victory.
  • Nemanja Gudelj: He is a key figure in Sevilla's midfield, known for his strong defensive skills and ability to lead by example. In the upcoming match, Gudelj's role will be pivotal as he looks to anchor the midfield, disrupt Valencia's attacking flow, and facilitate quick transitions to the forward line. 
  • Loïc Badé: He is a key figure in Sevilla's defense, having recently committed his future to the club by extending his contract until 2029. His presence on the backline has been instrumental in bolstering the team's defensive organization. As Sevilla prepares to face Valencia, Badé's ability to read the game will be vital in neutralizing Valencia's attacking threats. Expect Badé to play a pivotal role in ensuring a strong defensive performance in this crucial matchup.

Sevilla Team News

Sevilla FC is currently dealing with several injury concerns and a recent suspension ahead of their upcoming fixtures. Key players sidelined include Djibril Sow, who is recovering from muscle issues with expected returns in mid January 2025. Tanguy Nianzou remains doubtful due to a thigh injury, while Chidera Ejuke is also nursing a hamstring problem with a similar recovery timeline. 

Sevilla is reportedly close to signing Juninho, a forward from Qarabag. Negotiations have progressed, with a proposed fee around four million euros. Juninho has expressed interest in joining Sevilla and competing in La Liga, potentially bolstering the team's attacking options.

Valencia Current Form- LDDLL

Valencia's recent form indicates a team in distress, struggling to find consistency and effectiveness in both defense and attack.

The three losses in their last five matches point to defensive instability. Valencia has struggled to contain aggressive attacking sides, often being outmaneuvered in wide areas and failing to control set-piece situations effectively. 

Hugo Guillamón has struggled with costly errors, including a defensive lapse that directly led to Real Madrid’s equalizing goal. His inconsistency has been reflective of the broader defensive instability plaguing the squad, as Valencia has frequently conceded late goals due to a lack of focus and positional discipline in the backline.

In attack, Hugo Duro has shown positive flashes, most notably scoring the opening goal against Real Madrid. His ability to create goal-scoring opportunities and convert them has been vital, but he has often lacked consistent service from the midfield, limiting his overall impact on the team's results.

Tactically, Valencia’s recent matches have also been characterized by ineffective substitutions and limited impact from the bench. Players introduced late in games have struggled to make a significant difference, highlighting the need for a more cohesive game plan and better squad rotation.

Key Players to Watch

  • Hugo Duro: In the high-stakes arena of football, Hugo Duro emerges as Valencia's attacking maestro - a forward whose essence transcends mere statistical performance. In this upcoming match, Hugo Duro will not just play a game; he will be a conducting a complex tactical symphony, where every movement, every touch could potentially rewrite the narrative of the encounter. 
  • Pepelu: As Valencia prepares to face Sevilla, Pepelu will be a pivotal player in the midfield. Known for his exceptional passing range and vision, he has the ability to dictate the tempo of the game, which will be crucial against the Sevilla side that often looks to control possession at home. Therefore, Pepelu's performance will be pivotal in determining Valencia's midfield dominance and overall tactical approach against Sevilla.
  • Hugo Guillamón: In the tactical battlefield of football, Hugo Guillamón stands as Valencia's defensive sentinel, a player whose presence transcends the traditional role of a central defender. Against Sevilla, he represents more than just a barrier - he is the strategic architect of Valencia's defensive resilience. In this match, Guillamón carries the psychological weight of Valencia's defensive hopes.

Valencia Team News

Valencia CF has officially introduced their new forward, Umar Sadiq. Sadiq expressed enthusiasm about joining the club, emphasizing a shared ambition for success. Despite the team's current challenges, he remains optimistic and committed to contributing positively under coach Corberán's guidance. Sadiq aims to reach his peak performance, noting that consistent play is essential for his best form. The club holds an optional purchase clause for the player.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Sevilla: 4-3-3

    Fernandez; Carmona, Bade, Gudelj, Salas; Juanlu, Agoume, Lokonga; Lukebakio, Bernal, Idumbo-Muzambo

  2. Valencia: 4-4-2

    Dimitrievski; Gasiorowski, Tarrega, Mosquera, Foulquier; Rioja, Barrenechea, Guerra Moreno, Lopez Noguerol; Duro, Almeida.

Suggested Bets

If you enjoy gambling on La Liga, you can place the following bets of your favorite football betting sportsbooks. 

  1. Sevilla to Win: Sevilla has a better home record, which could enhance their chances against a struggling Valencia side. (49/50 with Stake) (99/100 with Pinnacle). 

  2. Under 2.5 Total Goals: The combination of Sevilla's defensive solidity and Valencia's struggles in attack creates a scenario where scoring opportunities may be limited, making a low-scoring match the most probable outcome. (29/50 with Stake) (67/100 with Pinnacle).

  3. Both Teams To Score (BTTS)- No: Both teams are experiencing a challenging season, with Valencia struggling particularly in away matches, leading to a low goal-scoring rate. Additionally, Sevilla's defense has shown resilience despite some inconsistencies. (7/10 with Stake) (18/25 with Pinnacle).

Value Bets

  1. Dodi Lukebakio- Anytime goal scorer: Given his recent scoring, Lukebakio presents a credible threat to score during the match (37/20 with Sportsbet.io) (49/20 with Stake)

  2. Correct Score (1-0): A 1-0 victory for Sevilla is considered the most probable outcome and suggests the likelihood of a tight tactical battle where a single moment of quality or a set-piece goal could decide the match. (47/10 with Sportsbet.io) (5/1 with Stake). 

  3. Draw No Bet on Sevilla: For those looking for a safer option, a draw no bet on Sevilla could be appealing, as it protects the stake in case of a draw while still allowing for a win. (43/100 with Stake) (2/5 with Pinnacle).

Prediction: Sevilla to Win and Under 2.5 Goals 

Combining Sevilla to win with under 2.5 goals could yield higher odds, reflecting the expectation of a close match with a narrow victory.

Sevilla has demonstrated strong defensive organization in recent matches, often prioritizing compactness and structure over offensive risks. Players like Loïc Badé and Nemanja Gudelj anchor the backline effectively, contributing to a lower likelihood of conceding goals. Their tactical setup underlines a preference for control and defensive stability, which often results in low-scoring encounters.

Valencia has shown inconsistencies in attack, struggling to convert chances into goals. While Hugo Duro has been a reliable scorer, the team as a whole lacks the offensive depth and creativity needed to break down solid defensive units like Sevilla. This contributes to the expectation of limited scoring opportunities for the visitors.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian WanyekiSports Writer

Ian Mugo Wanyeki is based in Nairobi, Kenya. He is a sports enthusiast with vast knowledge of different sport disciplines. Ian is a graduate with a Bachelor’s of Science degree from Kenyatta University. He is a Kenyan journalist who’s worked as a sports analyst at Covenant Television Network, as a sports reporter at NTV and as a Sports Correspondent/contributor at Quartz Africa.

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