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Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Kick Off Time: 8.00 pm (UK time) Venue: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid SportsBoom previews the La Liga match between Real Valladolid and Real Madrid at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla on Saturday,25th January 2025. Both teams are embracing different aspirations and challenges, with one challenging for the title and the other embroiled in a relegation scrap. To wage on this fixture, explore our suggested and value bets and place your wager on top football betting sportsbooks. This full preview offers a detailed analysis and La Liga betting insights into the match.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian Wanyeki

Last Updated: 2025-01-23

Chad Nagel
Kylian Mbappe shoots whilst under pressure from Eray Cuemart

Kylian Mbappe shoots whilst under pressure from Eray Cuemart//Getty Images

League Leaders Real Madrid travel to face bottom-of-the-table Real Valladolid in La Liga on Saturday, in a crucial match for both teams. Real Valladolid is desperate to escape the relegation zone as they are currently in last place on the standings with 15 points from 20 matches. The Blanquivioletas have had a tough season since being promoted from the Segunda Division and will need to start registering positive results from their remaining 18 fixtures if they are to survive the drop.

On the other hand, Real Madrid are high on confidence, having reclaimed top spot from fellow title challengers Atletico Madrid, who were humbled 1-0 by Leganes last weekend. The Los Blancos are lucky to still be in the title race after beginning the season in lukewarm form. This is a result of their main rivals faltering when least expected. 

In the recent matchups between both teams, Real Madrid have been utterly dominant. In fact, during Real Madrid's active six-game winning streak against Real Valladolid, the latter did not score. In their recent contest on August 25th 2024, Madrid comfortably claimed a 3-0 victory at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. 

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Real Madrid Clear Favourites

  1. Valladolid: 43/5 (9.6) – 10.4%

  2. Draw:  27/5 (6.40) – 15.6%

  3. Real Madrid: 29/100 (1.29) – 77.5%

  4. *Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change

Head-to-Head Record

Last Five Meetings (La Liga)

  1. 25/08/2024: Real Madrid 3-0 Real Valladolid

  2. 02/04/2023: Real Madrid 6-0 Real Valladolid 

  3. 30/12/2022: Real Valladolid 0-2 Real Madrid 

  4. 20/02/2021: Real Valladolid 0-1 Real Madrid

Real Valladolid Current Form (La Liga) – LWLWL

Real Valladolid is once again caught up in the relegation snare in La Liga, just after winning promotion back from La Liga 2. They have found the competition to be above their level and have struggled to put up a decent run of results. The club’s fans have been critical of the owners and board for their lack of transfer activity to match the division’s calibre. 

In the recent results, they succumbed to a 2-1 away loss against relegation strugglers Espanyol. Prior to that, they had shocked Real Betis 1-0 after being thrashed 3-0 by Girona. These results came after a 1-0 home win against a disappointing Valencia side and a narrow 2-1 away loss against Las Palmas.

Real Valladolid is struggling to score goals, while at the same time, their defence is the worst in the League, conceding a record 39 goals in 20 matches.

Head coach Diego Cocca will hope to quickly find a solution if the team is going to have a chance to retain its top-flight status for another season.

Real Valladolid will have nightmares before this matchup against Real Madrid, who regularly punish them. The Galacticos are a different beast altogether, fielding a team composed of elite talent that Valladolid can only dream of.

Vinicius Junior runs with the ball under pressure from Ivan Sanchez

Vinicius Junior runs with the ball under pressure from Ivan Sanchez//Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Anuar: Anuar will be the main threat to the Madrid backline especially considering their leading top scorer Raul Moro has been sidelined with a collarbone injury until March. The 30-year-old Morocco international is a workhorse footballer who surprisingly offers a dominant aerial threat despite being only 5 feet,8 inches. 
  • Kike Pérez: Kike Pérez will need to be on top of his game and dictate play from the middle of the park if Valladolid is to claim anything from this matchup. The 27-year-old Spanish midfield maestro has been one of the bright spots for his team while registering two goals in 18 matches this season.
  • Karl Hein: Karl Hein is up for a big and busy weekend against Real Madrid. The 22-year-old Estonian goalkeeper has had a decent season claiming five clean sheets in 20 matches. Although he arrived on loan from Premier League Giants Arsenal, Hein has put up mature performances for a lacklustre Valladolid side.

Real Valladolid Team News

Stanko Juric will miss the match due to suspension. Eray Cömert is sidelined with a hamstring injury while Raul Moro will sit out due to a collarbone injury.

Real Madrid Current Form (La Liga) – WWWDW

Reigning La Liga champions Real Madrid began their quest to defend their title with expected good form albeit not dominant. The mega Galactico addition of Kylian Mbappé during the summer transfer market has not had the immediate impact expected. The Los Blancos have failed to beat any of the top four in the league this season and they will hope to turn their fortunes in these reverse fixtures if they are to retain their title.

Still, Madrid are top of the table largely due to their opponents dropping points unexpectedly. Their front four Mbappé, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo and Bellingham have recently shown promise after failing to click due to chemistry and compatibility issues.

Carlo Ancelotti’s team has been riddled with injuries to key players in defence, affecting their performance against elite opposition in La Liga and the UEFA Champions League. After the humbling 5-2 defeat in the final of the Supercopa de España at the hands of Barcelona, Madrid returned to winning ways in dominant fashion. They thrashed Celta Vigo 5-2 in a thrilling Copa del Rey tie before rounding off last week with a comfortable 4-1 victory against Las Palmas.

Currently, Madrid enjoy a four-game winning streak in La Liga and they are favored to continue the with trend, given their dominance over Real Valladolid.

Key Players to Watch

  • Kylian Mbappé: Kylian Mbappé is finally settled in Madrid after a turbulent few months with the club. Much was highlighted of his preference to play on the left-hand side currently occupied with Vinicius Junior and his weakness to lead the line from the central striking position. Mbappé is on a rich vein of scoring form and is sure to cause Valladolid serious problems.
  • Jude Bellingham: Jude Bellingham role has significantly shifted since the arrival of Mbappé in Madrid. The England international was the focal point of the team’s attack last season and experienced difficult adjusting to a shift in position. However, he seems to have figured it out and is a goal or assist threat whenever he is on the pitch.
  • Rodrygo: Rodrygo has quietly contributed massively to Madrid’s recent success although the spotlight often focuses on his more glamourous teammates. He is often the hardest working among the attacking quartet. With Vinicius Junior serving his suspension and guaranteed not to feature, Rodrygo will be crucial against Valladolid. 

Real Madrid Team News

Vinicius Junior will miss the match due to suspension while Camavinga is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Éder Militão and Daniel Carvajal are out for the season after suffering cruciate ligament injuries.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Real Valladolid: 4-3-3

    Hein; Pérez, Bah, Sánchez, Rosa; Pérez, Martín, Amallah; Anuar, André de Sousa, Ndiaye

  2. Real Madrid: 4-2-3-1

    Courtois; Vázquez, Rüdiger, Alaba, García; Tchouaméni, Valverde; Díaz, Bellingham, Rodrygo; Mbappé 

Suggested Bets

If you love betting on the La Liga, here are some bets you can place at some of the top football sportsbooks. 

  1. Real Madrid to Win: Madrid has a solid current form and the team has been averaging 2 goals per game. Valladolid has evident struggles that renders them vulnerable to goals. (7/25 with BC.Game) (27/100 with Pinnacle). 

  2. Over 3.5 Total Goals: Real Madrid are a free-scoring team, whose attack has just clicked on all cylinders. Therefore, there is expected to be a goal fest in this match. (19/25 with Sportsbet.io) (11/10 with Stake). 

  3. Both Teams to Score (No): Valladolid are struggling to score goals and given that Real Madrid has a solid defence, this outcome will not be far-fetched. (24/25 with BetandYou) (19/20 with Sportsbet.io).

Value Bets

  1. Kylian Mbappé – Anytime Goalscorer: The Frenchmanis in a rich vein of form and has scored in all of Madrid’s games, in all competitions. (3/5 with Sportsbet.io) (33/50 with BetandYou).

  2. First Half Result – Real Madrid to lead: It is common, if not a tradition, for Madrid to dominate early in games and with Valladolid’s defensive struggles, Real will be leading by half-time. (33/50 with Stake).

  3. Real Madrid to Score Over 2.5 goals: Considering Real’s attacking prowess, capability to score and Valladolid’s leaky defence, scoring more than three goals is more of a guaranteed outcome. (91/100 with Sportsbet.io).

Prediction: Real Madrid to Win with Over 2.5 Goals

Real Madrid have been undoubtedly dominant in their historical fixtures with Valladolid. The former has secured wins, without conceding goals, and that trend is expected to continue, particularly with Valladolid’s dismal record. 

Ian Wanyeki
Ian WanyekiSports Writer

Ian Mugo Wanyeki is based in Nairobi, Kenya. He is a sports enthusiast with vast knowledge of different sport disciplines. Ian is a graduate with a Bachelor’s of Science degree from Kenyatta University. He is a Kenyan journalist who’s worked as a sports analyst at Covenant Television Network, as a sports reporter at NTV and as a Sports Correspondent/contributor at Quartz Africa.

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