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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: April 19, 2025 Venue: Villa Park Kickoff Time: 18:30 Aston Villa made their first Champions League quarter-final appearance since 1983, marking a significant milestone for the Birmingham club. However, their remarkable run came to an end at the hands of French Ligue 1 champions Paris Saint-Germain. Despite the disappointment, Unai Emery and his men must quickly regroup and shift their focus to another challenging fixture. They are set to face fellow Champions League hopefuls Newcastle United in a crucial Premier League clash.

Marc Strydom
Marc Strydom

Last Updated: 2025-04-16

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

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Newcastle United FC v Aston Villa FC - Premier League

Newcastle United FC v Aston Villa FC - Premier League//Getty Images

This match will be pivotal for both teams as they vie for a top-four finish and a spot in next season's Champions League. For those looking to cash in, be sure to check out the best football betting sites.

On April 19th, the atmosphere around the Villa Park stadium will be both intimidating and intense as Aston Villa host Newcastle. This matchup gives off the feeling of a grudge match as both coaches will be determined to take points off each other, and with how the first fixture played out, expect another fierce battle between these two clubs.

Pre-Game Odds & Win Probability

  1. HOME: 133/100 (2.33) – 42.9%

  2. DRAW: 53/20 (4.60) – 27.4%

  3. AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

    Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-To-Head Record

Last five meetings (Premier League)

  1. 26/12/2024: Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa 

  2. 30/01/2024: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle

  3. 12/08/2023: Newcastle 5-1 Aston Villa 

  4. 15/04/2023: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle

  5. 29/10/2022: Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa

Aston Villa Current Form – LWWWW

There is no hiding behind the fact that Aston Villa has undergone a remarkable transformation since Unai Emery assumed his position at the helm. Emery is known for his tactical acumen, attention to detail, and clear identity, which has seen Villa become a formidable opponent domestically and abroad. 

Despite their exit from the Champions League, Villa have been playing exceptionally well in the league. After being humbled in the 4-1 defeat against Crystal Palace, Villa has flipped the switch and gone on a four-match unbeaten streak. The three away victories demonstrated their strength on both ends of the field. Furthermore, the hard-fought 2-1 triumph over Nottingham Forest extended their unbeaten streak at home to 15 games, with their last home defeat dating way back to the second game of the season when they lost 0-2 to Arsenal.

Key Players To Watch

  • Ollie Watkins: Watkins is exceptionally quick, using his speed to outrun defenders and get into goal-scoring positions.  Despite his speed, he is also strong and capable of holding off defenders, making him effective in physical duels. He has consistently improved his finishing ability, becoming a reliable goal-scorer from various positions on the pitch.
  • Morgan Rogers: Rogers is a powerful runner with the ball, often driving through the centre of the pitch with strength and speed. His ability to carry the ball forward and take on defenders makes him a significant threat. Initially a left winger, Rogers has been successfully transformed into a central attacking midfielder or support striker under Emery. This versatility allows him to adapt to different tactical setups and positions. 
  • Marco Asensio: Asensio can play in multiple attacking positions, including as a right winger, left winger, or central attacking midfielder. He possesses excellent ball control and dribbling ability, which enables him to navigate through tight spaces and take on defenders with ease. Known for his powerful and accurate left foot, Asensio is capable of scoring from long range as well as finishing clinically inside the box.

Aston Villa Team News

Unai Emery is lucky to have a fully fit squad at this stage of the season and will have no issues selecting a strong team to take on Newcastle, except for Leon Bailey. The Jamaican has progressed well from his undisclosed injury, although he wouldn’t find himself in the starting lineup immediately and is more likely to see the bench to test his legs before a full return.

Newcastle United Current Form – LWWWW

Newcastle, under Eddie Howe’s guidance, has simply been a joy to watch. Howe’s emphasis on high-pressure, narrow attacking formations and quick transitions has been at the forefront of their success. This unique style of play has seen the Magpies lose just four out of 16 games in the league since mid-December, which magnifies everything Howe has been able to achieve with this team.

Since the defeat to league leaders Liverpool, the Toon Army has been on a four-match winning streak with victories over West Ham, Brentford, relegation-threatened Leicester City, and Manchester United. The mid-week fixture against Crystal Palace was another tough assignment, which again displayed their strong character and determination. After winning the last two away matches, Howe and his men will be poised in their ability to come away with a favourable result here. 

Key Players To Watch

  • Alexander Isak: Isak's off-the-ball movement is exceptional. He makes intelligent runs to exploit gaps in the defence, creating scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates. He is a clinical finisher, capable of scoring with both power and finesse. His versatility in finishing, whether it's a calm one-on-one, a volley, or a long-range strike, makes him a consistent goal threat.
  • Harvey Barnes: Barnes is renowned for his ability to drive at defenders with pace and agility. His direct approach often sees him making powerful runs down the flanks, creating significant pressure on the opposition. Playing primarily as a left winger, Barnes often cuts inside onto his stronger right foot to create scoring opportunities. This ability to shift play from the wing to central areas adds versatility to his attacking play.
  • Kieran Trippier: With extensive experience in the Premier League, La Liga, and international competitions, Trippier brings leadership and composure to his team. He consistently demonstrates a high work rate, covering large areas of the pitch and contributing both offensively and defensively. Trippier is also renowned for his precise and accurate crosses, making him a significant threat in creating goal-scoring opportunities from wide areas.

Newcastle United Team News

Sven Botman could be back in May after recovering from a minor surgery to remove floating bone in his knee. The Dutch defender has struggled with injuries this season and remains a key absence as a regular starter when fully fit. 

Lewis Hall suffered a foot injury and will miss the rest of the season. He underwent successful surgery and has begun his recovery process.

Joe Willock could return to the bench following concussion protocols and would have completed the necessary rest period after sustaining a blow to the head.

Predicted Line-Up

  1. Aston Villa: 4-2-3-1

    E. Martínez (c), M. Cash, E. Konsa, T. Mings, I. Maatsen, A. Onana, Y. Tielemans, M. Rashford, M. Asensio, M. Rogers, O. Watkins

  2. Newcastle: 4-3-3

    N. Pope, K. Trippier, F. Schar, D. Burn, T. Livramento, B. Guimaraes, S. Tonali, Joelinton, J. Murphy, H. Barnes, A. Isak 

Suggested Bets

If you plan to bet on this exciting encounter, select a sportsbook that provides a generous welcome bonus to kick off your betting experience like a champion.

  1. Both Teams To Score (Yes): Both clubs have quality in their respective attacking departments and are known for scoring goals. Expect goals to come from both sides. 14/25 (1.56) with Betway.

  2. Total (Over 2.5): With both teams having players who can both provide and score from various positions on the field, anticipate a fixture filled with scoring opportunities and goals. 71/100 (1.71) with 1xBet.

  3. First Goal (Aston Villa): Unai Emery will be determined to go ahead early in this fixture and put pressure on Newcastle, especially with the home-ground advantage at their disposal. Get on at 9/10 (1.90) with Stake.

Value Bets

Identifying value often comes down to timing, form, and understanding key match dynamics. Insights like these are regularly featured in our football betting tips and predictions section, where match trends and player performances help shape smarter selections.

  1. Player Assist (Regular Time – Youri Tielemans): Tielemans excels in various passing styles, including through balls that penetrate defensive lines and long diagonal crosses to switch play. With six assists already for the season, the Belgian is the man to provide for Villa on the day. 11/2 (6.5) with 1Win.

  2. Anytime Goalscorer – Harvey Barnes: Harvey Barnes is coming into this fixture full of confidence after scoring a brace against Manchester United last time out. With his explosive, direct style of play from the wing, expect him to cause trouble against Villa’s defence. 333/100 (4.33) with BetWinner.

  3. Both Teams To Score In Both Halves (Yes): Both teams will not sit back and reserve themselves but rather be aggressive in attack, which will open gaps and create scoring opportunities, especially with the quality players that will be on display. 9/1 (10) with Bettilt.

Prediction: Aston Villa to Win

Playing at Villa Park provides Aston Villa with a significant home advantage, as the passionate support of their fans creates an electrifying atmosphere. Under Emery's tactical brilliance and maintaining an unbeaten streak at home, Villa presents a formidable challenge. This is especially true with Newcastle facing the added fatigue of a mid-week fixture.

Marc Strydom
Marc StrydomSports Writer

Marc Strydom is a dedicated sports lover with a wealth of experience in the sports betting industry, mostly as a Chief Editor of a sports betting publication in South Africa. While Marc’s enthusiasm covers many sports, football and NBA are his favourites. His articles feature on multiple top-rated platforms, covering a wide range of topics.

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