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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Kick Off Time: 10:00 PM EDT Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California On Monday March 17, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will host the Denver Nuggets at Chase Center in a pivotal Western Conference clash. As the two teams battle for playoff contention, SportsBoom previews this matchup, providing context for odds assessment and betting insights to fans looking to bet on NBA games.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian Wanyeki

Last Updated: 2025-03-13

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

Stephen Curry drives against Nikola Jokic

Stephen Curry drives against Nikola Jokic//Getty Images

The Golden State Warriors will enter this matchup against the Denver Nuggets seeking to climb up to higher seeded positions on the Western Conference, as the scramble for the currently occupied sixth position intensifies. At the time of writing, the Warriors had just romped to their fifth consecutive victory by maintaining a 130-120 win over Portland Trail Blazers. Although they will be facing off with an arguably equal or higher-level NBA beast, the Warriors are expected to capitalize on their home court advantage to maintain their current win trajectories. For those looking to place bets on this high-stakes clash, exploring betting sites with welcome bonus can provide added value, offering extra incentives to maximize your betting experience.

The Denver Nuggets are similarly on an up-climbing aspiration that they will not allow to slip through their fingers. Having surpassed the Los Angeles Lakers and occupied second position on the Western conference, the Nuggets continually prove that they are a legitimate title contender. In their recent matchups, they have handled elite teams successfully, recording enviable results, even back-to-back. This positions the Nuggets as a dangerous threat to opponents in future games as the team is clearly set for an epic playoff showdown.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

For the Warriors vs Nuggets matchup, we suggest pre-game odds that you can find on the best online betting sites

  1. Golden State Warriors: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

  2. Denver Nuggets: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

  3. Forecast Odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event

Head-to-Head Record

The last five recent matches between the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets have ended in close-range outcomes, with the Nuggets consistently emerging dominant in all of them. 

Last Five Meetings

SeasonDateResult
2024/2025December 12, 2024Denver Nuggets 119 -115 Golden State Warriors
2023/2024February 26, 2024Golden State Warriors 103-119 Denver Nuggets
2023/2024January 05, 2024Golden State Warriors 127-130 Denver Nuggets
2023/2024December 25, 2023Denver Nuggets 120 -114 Golden State Warriors
2023/2024November, 09, 2023Denver Nuggets 108 -105 Golden State Warriors
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Golden State Warriors: Current Form – WWWWW

  • Overall Record: 36-28
  • Home Record: 18-13
  • Away Record: 18-15

Golden State Warriors are sitting second in the Pacific division and occupy sixth place in the Western Conference standings, at the time of writing. The last five matchups have been blissful, following a five-game winning streak, three victories on the road and two at home. 

The Warriors have been ruthless in their pursuit for a higher seed, as playoffs quickly approach, having swept clean the Charlotte Hornets (119-101), the New York Knicks (114-102), and the Brooklyn Nets (121-119) in their own home courts. 

Equally, they have been competitive at the Chase Centre, where they have recorded two notable wins against the Detroit Pistons (115-110) and the Portland Trail Blazers (130-120). The sixth seed that the Warriors currently occupy is the final postseason seed before the play-in tournament. This aspect poses a challenge to the Warriors, pushing them to yearn for higher seeds; it could be the fifth, fourth, or even third, who knows? As of now, hanging on to the sixth seed is the Warriors’ priority, as pressure mounts from the teams trailing behind them.

Key Players to Watch

  • Jimmy Butler III: Butler has proved to be an indispensable asset to the Warriors, since being traded to the franchise on February 5, 2025. He has done wonders for the team, showcasing a rejuvenating performance of an average 17.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 5.3 assists. Moreover, Butler’s arrival transformed the Warriors’ free throw from the worst to the best. 
  • Stephen Curry: It is nearly impossible to overlook Curry’s contribution to the Warriors’ outstanding performance, making him a key consideration for this game. Since the All-Star break, the outstanding sharpshooter has averaged 30.1points, 6.9 assists, and 3.9 rebounds in over nine appearances. 
  • Draymond Green: Green is one of the Warriors’ best-ever players and the franchise’s second leader in assists, after Curry. He has been of consistent value to the Warriors, recording five double-doubles this season. He has immensely helped the Warriors in the 36 games they have recorded so far, this season. 

Golden State Warriors Team News

Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga are sidelined due to a lower back strain and ankle injury respectively. However, the head coach is hopeful that they will return in the week of writing this article. 

Denver Nuggets: Current Form – WLWWL

  • Overall Record: 42-23
  • Home Record: 22-9
  • Away Record: 20-14

Denver are one of the top contenders of the NBA championship. At the time of writing, their most recent matchup was against the Western Conference leaders, Oklahoma City Thunder, whom they humiliated with a 140-127 defeat, a well-served revenge, after losing 103-127 to the same OKC in their second-most recent game. 

The Nuggets have been marred by injuries throughout the season but a constant in the team is the three-time MVP and in the eyes of many, the best player in the world, Nikola Jokic. He has been putting on career numbers and dragging the team to wins single-handedly, since much of the roster has been regressing from their championship-winning season.

The Denver Nuggets subscribe to their two-word statement, “Keep Climbing”, which seems to be their motivational element for the remaining part of the season. Their latest win against OKC has seen them climb to second place in the Western Conference, and only time will determine whether they will topple the leading giants, the OKC. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Nikola Jokic: Nikola Jokic has been leading the way in the Nuggets Matchups. Despite being marked questionable for the last two games against the OKC due to an elbow injury, Jokic not only showed up but dominated with 35 points, 18 rebounds, and 8 assists. His ability to control the game has always vitalized the Nuggets’ performance. 
  • Jamal Murray: Murray has been averaging 23.4 and 6.2 assists per game over his recent games. In his most recent matchup against OKC, he recorded 34 points, showcasing his scoring prowess and unrelenting determination to pursue success for his team. When partnered with Jokic, Jamal becomes unguardable, hence his presence in the team cannot be overlooked. 
  • Russell Westbrook: Westbrook is a veteran playmaker who has averaged 13.8 points, 5 assists, and 5 rebounds in his last five starts this season. Besides being a triple-double expert, Westbrook’s scoring ability is invaluable, making his contribution to the Nuggets notable. 

Denver Nuggets Team News

Julian Strawther is out on a knee injury, since March 4, with a re-evaluation set to occur after four weeks. DaRon Holmes II has also been sidelined since February 23 due to an Achilles injury.

Predicted Lineups

Golden State Warriors Lineup

  • Point Guard: Stephen Curry
  • Shooting Guard: Buddy Hield
  • Small Forward: Jimmy Butler III
  • Power Forward: Draymond Green
  • Center: Quinten Post

Denver Nuggets Lineup

  • Point Guard: Jamal Murray
  • Shooting Guard: Christian Braun
  • Small Forward: Michael Porter Jr.
  • Power Forward: Aaron Gordon
  • Center: Nikola Jokic

Value Bets

  1. Stephen Curry: To Score Over 25.5 Points – Curry, one of the best shooters in the NBA, has exceptional scoring skills, with his ability to shoot from long-range to the rim making this prediction viable. Since this matchup will be crucial to the Warriors’ positioning on the Western Conference standings, Curry is expected to shoot in volumes. 

  2. Nikola Jokic: To Record over 12.5 Rebounds – Jokic’s dominance on the boards is out of question and his position as a top rebounder makes this choice achievable. His unmatched ability to read the ball, combined with excellent timing and positioning elevates Jokic’s ability to make more than 13 rebounds. 

Prediction – Golden State Warriors to Win

Despite facing an elite opponent with deep thirst for climbing up the Western Conference standings, the Warriors will leverage their home court advantage to boost their dominance and confidence in this game. A blend of their three-point shooting strength and fast-paced lineup will favor the Warriors’ winning capability in this game. Nonetheless, the Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray duo will most likely anchor a challenge to Warrior’s solid defense. 

Ian Wanyeki
Ian WanyekiSports Writer

Ian Mugo Wanyeki is based in Nairobi, Kenya. He is a sports enthusiast with vast knowledge of different sport disciplines. Ian is a graduate with a Bachelor’s of Science degree from Kenyatta University. He is a Kenyan journalist who’s worked as a sports analyst at Covenant Television Network, as a sports reporter at NTV and as a Sports Correspondent/contributor at Quartz Africa.

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