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Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Kick Off Time: 07.30 pm, ET Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida SportsBoom previews the NBA cross-conference match between the Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies at Kaseya Center on Thursday, 3rd April 2025. The season is almost at its conclusion and the playoffs are beckoning. These two franchises are on course to be part of it, anticipation is palpable, and the stakes couldn’t be any higher for those looking to bet on NBA games.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian Wanyeki

Last Updated: 2025-03-26

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

Terry Rozier #2 of the Miami Heat drives to the basket against Lamar Stevens #1 of the Memphis Grizzlies

Terry Rozier #2 of the Miami Heat drives to the basket against Lamar Stevens #1 of the Memphis Grizzlies/Getty Images

The Miami Heat have been lackluster since trading Jimmy Butler and are trying to gain their identity back. They are part of a deeply competitive race, seeking to make the playoffs. They have not stood out at all and have rather been unexceptional. Its highly improbable that they will have a deep postseason run, going by the current trajectory as teams ahead of them perform better. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are having a good season after last year’s disastrous campaign that saw them become a lottery team. They are among the NBA contending teams in a sturdy and ferocious Western Conference and they hope to make the right noises in the playoffs. They boast a young and dynamic roster.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

These forecast odds will be available on the best online sports betting platforms as the game draws closer. 

  1. Miami Heat: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%

  2. Memphis Grizzlies: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

  3. Forecast Odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event. Checking out a 1Win review can provide insights into the platform’s features, odds, and betting options.

Head-to-Head Record

The Miami Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies have played 56 games in the regular season. The former has clinched 30 victories and the latter 26. Their recent five-game stretch shows that the Heat have claimed two victories and the Grizzlies three.

LAST FIVE MATCHES

    

SeasonDate Result
2024/2025March 15th 2025Memphis Grizzlies 125-91 Miami Heat
2023/2024January 24th 2024Miami Heat 96-105 Memphis Grizzlies
2023/2025November 8th 2023Memphis Grizzlies 102-108 Miami Heat
2022/2023March 15th 2023Miami Heat 138-119 Memphis Grizzlies
2022/2023December 5th2022Memphis Grizzlies 101-93 Miami Heat
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Miami Heat: Current Form – WLLLL

Overall Record: 30-41
Home Record: 16-19
Away Record: 14-22       

The Miami Heat are in the midst of an unpleasant season run that has pushed them down the standings. The Heat need to sort out their chemistry issues as their players will need to be on par if they are to cause any upsets to teams above them in the standings. 

The Jimmy Butler’s trade to the Warriors seems to be a big mistake, especially when you factor in that they didn’t receive like-for-like talent, leaving the Heat destabilized.
The team’s lead players like Bam Adebayo have strengthened the defense, with the offensive front propelling the game to new heights. The likes of Tyler Herro and rookie Kel'el Ware have been relevant to the team’s overall performance despite not being all rosy. 

Bam Adebayo #13 of the Miami Heat handles the ball during the second half against the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum
Bam Adebayo handles the ball //Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Tyler Herro: Tyler Herro is been an outright baller this season. Since taking over as the team’s de facto point guard, his playmaking has massively improved. In addition, his three-point shooting percentage has skyrocketed, making him one of the most clutch players in the NBA.
  • Bam Adebayo: Bam has finally shrugged off the shoulder injuries that have been pestering him over the last couple of seasons. He is quietly balling and providing lockdown post defense for the Miami. Bam is crucial for the Heat and he is the center piece of their resilient mentality and tenacity. His dual with Jaren Jackson Jr. will be interesting to watch.
  • Andrew Wiggins: Andrew Wiggins has showed he can offer quality offensive production while been a capable defender over the years. However, the consistency has often been an issue but he finds ways to deliver when least expected.

Miami Heat Team News

The Heat have a clean bill of health with only Nikola Jovic’s status for the rest of the season remaining in question due to a fractured second metacarpal on his right hand.

Memphis Grizzlies: Current Form - LLLWL

Overall Record: 43-28
Home Record: 25-11
Away Record: 18-17

The Memphis Grizzlies have had a positive and aggressive season so far. They are destined to make the playoffs since they occupy one of the top six automatic slots. The Grizzlies have been one of the best offensive teams in the league with an offensive rating of 117.3 and their brand of basketball has been good and entertaining to watch.

Head coach Taylor Jenkins has a deeply talented roster to select from that is equipped with good chemistry and rapport, all while showcasing a selfless basketball product on the court. The team’s scoring has been evenly spread out, making it easy for the team to deal with injuries to players.

Ja Morant is quietly having a remarkable season after having a rough couple of years dealing with inappropriate behavior and injuries that affected the teams overall play. This season Jaren Jackson Jr. has grown into a leader and his production has been a point of reference for the entire team.

Zach Edey is having a good rookie season and is in contention for Rookie of the Year award. The team will hope to shrug off injury concerns to its main players before the playoffs.

Key Players to Watch

  • Jaren Jackson Jr: Jaren Jackson Jr. is having an All-NBA season. He leads the team in scoring, and blocks, with 22.4 points per game and 1.6 blocks. He is a perimeter and paint threat for the Grizzlies and will cause the Warriors problems with size down low.
  • Desmond Bane: Desmond Bane has massively improved as a playmaker this season. He is the team’s second assist leader with 5.4 assists per game while also being the team’s third leading scorer with 18.9 points. His defense has also gone to the next level which will be key against the deadly perimeter offense of the Warriors.
  • Zach Edey: Zach Edey is sure to cause the Warriors problems in the interior due to his size and length. The rookie is the team’s leader in rebounds with 7.7 rebounds per game. He will be required from the bench to contest for second chance points while also locking down the paint with his shot-blocking ability.

Memphis Grizzlies Team News

Ja Morant will likely be absent due to a hamstring injury while Brandon Clarke has been diagnosed with a high-grade PCL sprain in his right knee and is expected to miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Zyon Pullin will also be out due to a knee injury and Lamar Stevens’s shoulder will be reevaluated before this meeting.

Predicted Lineups

  1. Miami Heat Lineup
    Point Guard: Tyler Herro
    Shooting Guard: Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    Small Forward: Andrew Wiggins
    Power Forward: Bam Adebayo
    Center: Kel'el Ware

  2. Memphis Grizzlies Lineup
    Point Guard: Luke Kennard
    Shooting Guard: Desmond Bane
    Small Forward: Jaylen Wells
    Power Forward: Santi Aldama
    Center: Jaren Jackson Jr.

Value Bets

  1. Desmond Bane – To Score Over 18.5 Points: Desmond has improved massively as a scoring and playmaking option for the Grizzlies. His tenacious and unorthodox style of play often catches his opponents by surprise. 

  2. Tyler Herro – To Score Over 22.5 Points: Herro has been averaging 29.5 points in most of his games this season, revealing his high-scoring potential. He is one of the Heat’s lead scorers, hence he is expected to meet this threshold in this game.

Prediction: Miami Heat to Win

The Heat have had an average season and will need to get back on track quickly as time is running out. Although the Grizzlies have maintained a better season record, compared to the Heat, the latter’s home court advantage and their coach’s enriching experience favours them. Moreover, their offensive front is expected to step up in this game, otherwise, all odds will be against them.

Ian Wanyeki
Ian WanyekiSports Writer

Ian Mugo Wanyeki is based in Nairobi, Kenya. He is a sports enthusiast with vast knowledge of different sport disciplines. Ian is a graduate with a Bachelor’s of Science degree from Kenyatta University. He is a Kenyan journalist who’s worked as a sports analyst at Covenant Television Network, as a sports reporter at NTV and as a Sports Correspondent/contributor at Quartz Africa.

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