NBA
Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Monday 24th February 2025 Start time: 5:00 pm local time (00:30 am BST) Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia Last meeting: October 28th 2024, Milwaukee Bucks 125-96 Miami Heat The Miami Heat continue their tour on the road and will face off with the Atlanta Hawks.
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The Miami Heat continue their tour on the road and will face off with the Atlanta Hawks. The Heat are playing back-to-back nights in two separate states and, therefore, will have a tough test on their hands. This game sees the eighth and ninth seed in the Eastern Conference face off, and whichever team prevails will see an important cushion cemented over the other.
Ahead of the fixture, SportsBoom has crafted a thorough fixture guide, outlining key information about both teams. We'll examine the teams' performances up to now, identify standout players, and look back at their past meetings. In addition, we will offer a prediction and share some valuable betting insights.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Miami Heat are slight favourites to win.
Atlanta Hawks: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.45%
Miami Heat: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.64%
Forecast odds – Betting available on Stake closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
The Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks have contested in a grand total of 139 regular season matches throughout the history of the NBA. This matchup always brings out the best in each other, and especially in recent times, we see close games. Two of the last five games either went to overtime or were won in the dying embers.
The Heat have won three of the last five games but have won seven of the last ten, showcasing their dominance against the Hawks. This game has significant importance to both sides this time round, as both are searching for a playoff spot. For those looking to place bets on this matchup, our best online betting sites list provides the most competitive odds and trusted options.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/25 Season | December 28, 2025 | Atlanta Hawks 120-110 Miami Heat |
| 2023/24 Season | April 9, 2024 | Miami Heat 117-111 Atlanta Hawks |
| 2023/24 Season | January 19, 2024 | Atlanta hawks 109-108 Miami Heat |
| 2023/24 Season | December 22, 2023 | Miami Heat 122-113 Atlanta Hawks |
| 2023/24 Season | November 11, 2023 | Miami Heat 117-109 Atlanta Hawks |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Miami Heat
- Record: 25-28
- Home Form: 12-11
- Road Form: 12-17
Since the trade deadline, the Miami Heat have yet to pick up a win either at home or on the road after trading Jimmy Butler to the Golden State Warriors. The organization currently have a 25-28 record in the league. Despite this sub-.500 record, the roster has a positive winning record despite being the ninth seed in the East.
As part of the trade seeing Butler move on, Andrew Wiggins was brought in from the Warriors. In the two games he has started for the franchise, Wiggins has a combined average of 12 points, 4 assists and 4.5 rebounds. The former first rounder shooting forward posted 17.6 points for the Warriors before his trade, indicating there is more to come from him.
Tyler Herro is the organization’s example as he is posting an average of 23.9 points per game. This is by far his best season in the NBA, and as a result, the 24-year-old was awarded with a first NBA All-Star selection. Herro has raised the bar in assists and rebounds output too, averaging 5.5 in both areas, respectively.
Atlanta Hawks
- Record: 26-29
- Home Form: 12-12
- Road Form: 14-16
The Atlanta Hawks sit in eighth place in the East, but it’s fair to say it has been a mixed campaign for the franchise this season. Injuries at various points have seen key players miss various games, including various trades both in and out of the squad. The Hawks have played two games more than the Heat but have the same record, therefore, a defeat could hinder the franchise.
The Hawks’ point guard is 26-year-old Trae Young, who is posting 23.7 points per game. Young is producing his worst shooting output since he joined the league in 2018, but his numbers make up for it when it comes to assisting his team. Young is averaging 11.5 assists per game, numbers of which place him as the front runner of the NBA in that department. This season, he is producing the best number of assists of his career, unlocking another level of his game.
With Young showing his importance in offense, Jalen Johnson was of use when eligible in the first part of the season. Before picking up a season-ending injury after he suffered a torn labrum in his left shoulder, Johnson was averaging 10 rebounds per game, in addition to 18.9 points per game. Johnson will be a miss to the defense, but will no doubt come back stronger after raising his game to another level this season.
Value Bets
Andrew Wiggins, Over 15 Points and Over 5 Rebounds: Andrew Wiggins continues into his new life in south beach and will no doubt want to prove his capabilities to his new team and fanbase. In his last game for the Golden State Warriors against the Hawks, he posted 29 points, but the time before that, he produced a lacklustre 2 points. It will be difficult to tell which Wiggins turns up, but we predict at least 15 points.
Trae Young, Over 20 Points and Over 10 Assists: Trae Young has produced five double-doubles in his last seven games against the Heat but provided a varying degree of points in the games in which he eclipsed double figures. He posted 11 points in his last game, but in the three games before that, he posted 25 or more; therefore, our prediction sees Young posting at least 20 points.
Prediction: Miami Heat to win
Although the Heat are struggling for form and have yet to pick up a win since trading their superstar Jimmy Butler, we still fancy the Heat to prevail. It should be a close game, as previous games have suggested. This matchup will no doubt deliver, and it will be important given the context of the league at the time of writing.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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