NBA
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Thursday 13th February 2025 Start time: 7:30 pm local time (1:30 am BST) Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas Last meeting: February 8, 2025, Los Angeles Clippers 130-110 Utah Jazz The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Center for an intriguing game of basketball on Thursday night.
Anthony Davis//Getty Images
The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Center for an intriguing game of basketball on Thursday night. Both teams have made big trades this month, with big names coming in and leaving both organizations. The Heat are the seventh seed in the East, whereas the Mavericks are the eighth seed in the West. Who will win this matchup, and where will both franchises end up at the end of the season?
Get all the details on this thrilling encounter with SportsBoom’s preview, which includes recent and historical head-to-head encounters between the two teams. We have you covered with detailed key players on both sides and offer an in-depth review of their season performance.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Dallas Mavericks: 10/11 (1.91) - 52.36%
Miami Heat: 11/10 (2.10) - 47.62%
Forecast odds – Betting available on Stake closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
This matchup has only seen 76 regular games throughout regular-season history, dating back to the first fixture in 1988. Due to both teams playing in the Eastern and Western Conferences, both sides play twice a year. This fixture is incredibly close as many exciting games stand out, and the Heat have won 39 fixtures compared to the Mavericks’ 37.
The Heat won the previous encounter earlier this season, which puts them ahead in the overall head-to-head. In the last five games, however, Dallas have won three, compared to Miami’s two.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/25 Season | November 24, 2024 | Miami Heat 123-118 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2023/24 Season | April 10, 2024 | Dallas Mavericks 111-92 Miami Heat |
| 2023/24 Season | March 7, 2024 | Dallas Mavericks 114-108 Miami Heat |
| 2022/23 Season | April 1, 2023 | Miami Heat 129-122 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2022/23 Season | January 20, 2023 | Dallas Mavericks 115-90 Miami Heat |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Dallas Mavericks
- Record: 28-25
- Home Form: 15-10
- Road Form: 13-15
The Dallas Mavericks are the eighth seed in the Western Conference and are right in the middle of a playoff battle themselves. The organization is sandwiched between the seventh and ninth team seeds and is 1.5 games in front and behind the Sacramento Kings and the Los Angeles Clippers. The Mavericks need to up their form as the Kings, the Phoenix Suns and the Golden State Warriors all have the same 26-26 record.
After their leading star, Luca Doncic, moved to the west coast to join the Los Angeles Lakers, the Mavericks acquired Anthony Davis as part of that trade. Davis forced himself off while on his debut for his new team, but it doesn’t look serious. Before this, he posted 26 points and 16 rebounds, showing the Mavericks fans that he is one of the best in the West on both sides of the court.
Working alongside Davis is 32-year-old Kyrie Irving, another superstar who is averaging big numbers this season. His stat line of 24.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists will be important to the team, considering his game compliments Davis’. Irving has started 42 games this season and his new partnership with Davis could spring the Mavericks into life.
Miami Heat
- Record: 25-25
- Home Form: 12-10
- Road Form: 13-15
The Miami Heat continue their season with a .500 record in the Eastern Conference. The organization are placed seventh overall and is within touching distance in the playoffs. The Heat are hovering between the sixth and ninth seeds, as all four teams are separated by one and a half games. Can the Heat prevail and use this win as a platform to spark together an impressive run of form?
After Jimmy Butler left the franchise before the trade deadline to join the Golden State Warriors, the organization brought in Andrew Wiggins. The Canadian joins having played 43 games across the 2024/25 season thus far, averaging 17.6 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. Wiggins will start a new life on the south coast and will look to get off to the best possible start.
Alongside Wiggins is the Heat’s leading scorer this season, point guard Tyler Herro. While recording his highest average of 23.7 points, he is the benchmark in the roster when it comes to creating offensive plays. In addition, he is averaging the same number in rebounds and assists, with 5.6 compiled across every Heat game bar one.
Value Bets
Kyrie Irving: Over 25 Points and Over 5 Assists
Our first valued bet for this preview focuses on the Maverick’s star, Kyrie Irving. Irving has a career average of 21.9 points and 4.9 assists against the Heat, regardless of the organization he has played for. However, we predict him to improve on this, as earlier this season, he recorded 27 points and 6 assists. Therefore, due to the potential absence of Anthony Davis, we should see him replicate this performance to try and help this team in their quest for victory.
Tyler Herro: Over 15 Points and Over 5 Rebounds
Tyler Herro has raised the bar in rebounds in his previous games against the Dallas Mavericks. He has posted over five in his last four games, implying he will likely achieve this once again. Herro’s defensive game is improving by the year, and we expect him to post at least five. In addition, he has posted over 15 points, therefore, this stat line for the roster seems appropriate for this fixture.
Prediction: Dallas Mavericks
It’s a tough one to call, but SportsBoom thinks the Dallas Mavericks will see this game out. The team have a slightly favourable record in the league and has won three of their last five encounters with the Heat. It should be a close game considering how high-scoring this affair is, but the Mavericks should just about get over the line.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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