NBA
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Sunday 19th January 2025 Start time: 3 pm local time (8 pm BST) Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida Last meeting: February 7, 2024, Miami Heat 116-104 San Antonio Spurs The Miami Heat and the San Antonio Spurs play for the first time across the 2024/25 NBA season.
Victor Wembanyama//Getty Images
The Miami Heat and the San Antonio Spurs play for the first time in the 2024/25 NBA season. Both teams are lingering at the tail end of the play-off places, with the Heat placed seventh in the East, whereas the Spurs placed ninth in the West. Both franchises will see this fixture as an important win for both sides looking to remain competitive within the league and their respective Conference.
Our full preview will cover more details about both teams, where we discuss stand-out players within their rosters and our valued bets. In addition, we look at the previous five matchups but also the historical record of both teams.
When looking for safe and effective betting strategies, it’s crucial to focus on player performances that show consistent form.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Miami Heat: 2/5 (1.40) - 71.4%
San Antonio Spurs: 2/1 (3.00) - 33.3%
Betting available on Stake closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
This matchup has only occurred 73 times in regular season history, with the San Antonio Spurs boasting 45 victories. The Miami Heat are second best, with only 28 wins arriving against the Texan team.
Despite the inferior record overall, the Heat achieved the double over the Spurs in the 2023/24 season and have won their last three games. The Heat are dominant across their last ten meetings, winning eight overall, a fair portion of their overall victories against this organization.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2023/24 Season | February 7, 2024 | Miami Heat 116-104 San Antonio Spurs |
| 2023/24 Season | November 12, 2023 | Miami Heat 118-113 San Antonio Spurs |
| 2022/23 Season | December 17, 2022 | Miami Heat 111-101 San Antonio Spurs |
| 2022/23 Season | December 10, 2022 | San Antonio Spurs 115-111 Miami Heat |
| 2021/22 Season | February 26, 2022 | Miami Heat 133-129 San Antonio Spurs |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Miami Heat
- Record: 20-18
- Home Form: 10-7
- Road Form: 10-11
The Miami Heat have drifted above .500 in recent times and are currently the seventh seed within the Eastern Conference. The franchise is looking to capitalise on their opponents surrounding them in the higher seeds to try and climb up the charts. The Heat are relying on their roster to produce the goods on the road as they close in on having a positive record both home and away.
Their first problem is with their current shooting forward Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 17.6 points per game. However, while this isn’t exactly him performing his best stuff, he has demanded a trade away from the organization. His last game was on the 3rd of January, implying that he is awaiting a move elsewhere. He is currently suspended but revealed he plans to play once his time on the sidelines is over.
The roster’s best scorer as of now belongs to Tyler Herro, who is averaging 24 points and ranks 17th overall in the entire league. He continues to raise the bar as his career progresses, not many within the NBA are averaging 24-5-5 for the season and he is improving on his game in reading situations, producing, and reclaiming the ball.
San Antonio Spurs
- Record: 19-19
- Home Form: 12-8
- Road Form: 7-11
The San Antonio Spurs are on exactly .500 for the season as they approach the midway point in their season. The team have a favourable home record but appears to struggle on the road. The Western Conference is extremely competitive and as such the franchise has fallen to the ninth seed, but they shouldn’t be ruled out to gain an advantageous seeding later in the season.
Their best player is sophomore star Victor Wembanyama, their first overall pick from 2023. He is posting 25.1 points per season, which places him on the cusp of a top-ten place. The Spurs star is averaging 10.7 rebounds too, statistics that place him eighth overall. Wembanyama is by far the most important player on their roster, and his presence has seen the Spurs remain competitive this season. He is posting quite remarkable numbers for someone who is in only their second season in the league.
Seasoned veteran Chris Paul joined the roster at the start of the 2024/25 season after a one-year stay with the Golden State Warriors, with the 39-year-old the only player within the team to play in every game for their season so far. He is showing he still has it at his age as he is posting 8.4 assists across the season, numbers which place him sixth overall in the entire league.
Value Bets
Victor Wembanyama: Over 20 Points and Over 10 Rebounds
Our first valued bet sees the Frenchman Wembanyama post over 20 points and 10 rebounds. Incredibly, despite being only 21, he is producing incredible numbers and has posted four double-doubles in his last five games. In his two games against the Miami Heat, he has averaged 18 points and 12 rebounds, but his form has improved to greater heights since his last performance on the south coast.
Chris Paul: Over 8 Assists
Victor Wembanyama is expected to deliver the goods by shooting and retrieving the ball out of possession, but Chris Paul will help in providing to him and those in the offense. Across the 33 games he has played against the Heat is averages 14.7 points and 8.6 points. These numbers will be of use to those within his team due to his play-making ability and producing visually impactful layoffs.
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs to win
SportsBoom predicts the San Antonio Spurs to prevail. This matchup could be extremely close, but our valued bets on the partnership between Chris Paul and Victor Wembanyama will be an important outcome in determining the result of this match. The Heat may have won the last three games, but the Spurs are looking in fine form to bolster their winning record against the Florida team.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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