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Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks: Odds, Tips and Prediction

The Phoenix Suns travel east to face off with the Atlanta Hawks for the second time in under a week. Date: Tuesday 14th January 2025 Start time: 7:30 pm local time (00:30 am BST) Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia Last meeting: April 9, 2024, Minnesota Timberwolves 130-121 Washington Wizards

Henry Cheal
Henry Cheal

Last Updated: 2025-01-10

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant//Getty Images

The Phoenix Suns travel east to face off with the Atlanta Hawks for the second time in under a week. The Suns are up against it after posting a 2-8 record from their last ten games and the Hawks is the first of five road games for the franchise, meaning the Suns need to desperately pick up form to stand their ground and fight for a play-off place. The Suns have the third worst road form in the West this season, will they prevail against a team who sits in the final play-off places in the East? 

At SportsBoom, you’ll find an extensive breakdown of both teams, including our top-value bet suggestions, an in-depth review of key players from both rosters and an overview of the recent head-to-head fixtures. 

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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Phoenix Suns are marginal favourites for this match.

  2. Phoenix Suns: 4/5 (1.80) – 56% win probability

  3. Atlanta Hawks: 21/20 (2.05) – 44% win probability

  4. Forecast Odds – Betting available at Stake closer to event  

Head-to-Head Record

This matchup occurs twice a year throughout each respective NBA season, and the two franchises meet for the first time for the 2024/25 season. Both teams have locked horns 138 times in regular season history. As things stand, the Suns have the superior record in the head-to-head, as Phoenix have produced 76 wins to Atlanta’s 62.

Overall, the Suns look like the more formidable team, but the Hawks are stronger in recent memory. The home team have won four of their last five meetings dating from early 2022 to early 2024, before the Suns ended their hopes in their last matchup.

Last Five Matches

SeasonDateResult
2024/24 SeasonMarch 21, 2024Phoenix Suns 128-115 Atlanta Hawks
2023/24 SeasonFebruary 2, 2024Atlanta Hawks 129-120 Phoenix Suns
2022/23 SeasonFebruary 9, 2023Atlanta Hawks 116-107 Phoenix Suns
2022/23 SeasonFebruary 1, 2023Atlanta Hawks 132-100 Phoenix Suns
2021/22 SeasonFebruary 3, 2022Atlanta Hawks 124-115 Phoenix Suns
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How is the season so far for both teams?

Atlanta Hawks

  • Record: 19-18
  • Home Form: 10-7
  • Road Form: 9-10

The Atlanta Hawks are back up to seventh in the Eastern Conference thanks to producing a close win against the Utah Jazz. Within their conference, the Hawks have the second-least number of defeats but have lost 11 times on the road against the Western teams. Though the Hawks currently have a positive record overall, they are not quite up to 0.500 overall on the road.

The Hawks have three players who are propping up good numbers for the organization consistently. Trae Young is their leading star in points per game with 22.5, a slight deficit to previous seasons. Though his shooting has slightly reduced, the 26-year-old is the overall leader in the NBA in assists per game. A stunning average of 12 assists per game has led to the overall roster’s success in scoring. 

Atlanta’s two small forwards Jalen Johnson and De’Andre Hunter are both producing the same number of points per game with an average of 19.8. Johnson enters his fourth season with the organization and is the key starter and is shaping up to be one of the star performers within the Conference. Johnson posts 10.1 rebounds in addition to his shooting duties and is at the forefront of excellence in both offense and defence. However, for Hunter, he has transitioned into a player starting from the bench and this has helped him improve his game. His impact when he enters the court sees him post the same points per game as their main starter in Johnson.

Trae Young

Trae Young //Getty Images

Phoenix Suns

  • Record: 16-19
  • Home Form: 10-7
  • Road Form: 9-10

The Phoenix Suns currently have the joint-worst recent record in the Conference, winning only two games from their last ten. This record puts them on level terms with the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won seven games all season. The Suns’ struggling form puts them a distant 12th in the West and are one of five teams to be below .500. 

The Suns’ woes link heavily to consistent minor injuries from their three main stars: Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. Across the 2024/25 NBA season so far, these three in tandem have had stints on the side-lines while others have played, resulting in a lack of chemistry when playing and this is a leading factor as to why the Suns are struggling this season.

Durant is posting his highest points-per-game total since joining the organization in 2022, propping up 27.4 points per game, totals that match his career-best averages. Booker is their second most valuable shooter with 24.6 points per game, a decrease from previous years but he is still inside the NBA’s top 20 list in points and assists per game. 

Value Bets

  1. Trae Young: Over 25 Points and Over 10 Assists

    Our first value bet revolves around Trae Young. The stats show that the 26-year-old loves playing against the Phoenix Suns, as throughout his six-year career has averaged 27.6 points and 11 assists per game. Therefore, SportsBoom believes he will post at least 25 points and double digits in assists for this matchup. A double-double is quite the common theme for Young, therefore we expect this run to keep on going.

  2. Kevin Durant: Over 30 Points and 7 Rebounds

    Historically Kevin Durant averaged 29.5 points in an incredible 30 previous meetings against Atlanta, and even more impressively, boasts 32.5 points in his last ten games. This value bet sees him producing this sort of standard again, as the NBA veteran is capable of springing up spellbinding numbers regardless of the team and situation he finds himself in. 

Prediction: Atlanta Hawks to win

SportsBoom predicts the Atlanta Hawks to win this matchup. As of right now, the Hawks appear to have better chemistry in all corners of the court thanks to their roster’s setup. The Suns’ recent record is troubling, to say the least, but their recent encounters will give the Hawks continued motivation to pick up an important win. With two games played over a week, Atlanta desperately needs to win both to compile a play-off push. 

Henry Cheal
Henry ChealSports Writer

Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.

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