NBA
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Saturday 8th March 2025 Start time: 2:30 pm local time (19:30 pm BST) Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas Last meeting: December 27, 2024, Dallas Mavericks 98-89 Phoenix Suns The Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks will face off in a crucial Western Conference matchup on Saturday.
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The Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks will face off in a crucial Western Conference matchup on Saturday. Both teams are placed tenth and 11th in the division, respectively. This game is of utmost significance for both sides as they are contesting a play-in battle and will be looking to complete an important win. Which side will come out on top considering both aren’t in the greatest form as of late?
We will share our recommended bets and explore key trends that could impact online sports betting markets before offering our final prediction.
At SportsBoom, we take pride in creating comprehensive previews of NBA matches. This preview will see us analyse the rosters of both the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns, as well as delving deeper into their head-to-head battles in recent years and throughout history. We will share our recommended bets before offering our prediction.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
- Phoenix Suns: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.45%
- Dallas Mavericks: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.64%
- Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
For a closer look at one of the trusted platforms, check out our 1Win review for detailed insights.
Head-to-Head Record
These two Western Conference organizations have played a grand total of 178 regular season games throughout regular season history. As of right now, the Phoenix Suns have won the most games, winning 99 compared to the Dallas Mavericks’ 79.
In recent form, has been even in the last ten games. However, prior to this, from a period from 2020 stretching through 2022, the Suns boasted a ten-game winning streak. The Suns have won twice this season, but the Mavericks won their most recent matchup in late December 2024.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/25 Season | December 27, 2024 | Dallas Mavericks 98-89 Phoenix Suns |
| 2024/25 Season | November 8, 2024 | Phoenix Suns 114-113 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2024/25 Season | October 26, 2024 | Phoenix Suns 114-102 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2023/24 Season | February 22, 2024 | Dallas Mavericks 123-113 Phoenix Suns |
| 2023/24 Season | January 24, 2024 | Phoenix Suns 132-109 Dallas Mavericks |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Dallas Mavericks
- Record: 32-29
- Home Form: 19-12
- Road Form: 13-17
The Dallas Mavericks have fallen two places in the Western Conference since the trade deadline. The organization must start anew after making the decision to trade their best player, Luca Doncic. The Mavericks have a 6-4 record from their last ten matches, but the better form of teams surrounding them leaves them in the final play-in spot for the time being.
Anthony Davis could feature in this encounter after a re-evaluation. Davis forced himself off while on his debut with the Mavericks and has been out for over a month as a result. On his debut, he posted 26 points and 16 rebounds, showing the Mavericks fans that he is one of the best in the West on both sides of the court when healthy. He will be a big help if he is fit on his return.
Working alongside Davis is superstar Kyrie Irving. Irving, now 32 years old, is averaging big numbers this season. His stat line has increased to 25 points for the season, across 49 matches. His average of 4.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game have increased too, showcasing that he is an incredibly valuable player within their roster. He and Davis could become a big partnership within the organization.
Phoenix Suns
- Record: 28-33
- Home Form: 17-13
- Road Form: 11-20
A time of writing, no team in the West is in worse form than the Phoenix Suns. The organization are 2-8 from their last ten games, and it shows in the table charts. The Suns desperately need to regain form to stand a chance at the play-in places, as the roster is four games behind the Mavericks in the division, who are in front of them. The Suns are in trouble if they can’t claw back some of the margin with a victory in Dallas.
The Suns’ most valuable player within the roster is no doubt, Kevin Durant. Durant has played 48 games this season and is averaging his career averages of 26.7 points per game at the age of 36. Durant has seen only marginal regression in rebounds and assists, but he is far from the finished article.
Alongside Durant is another superstar in the form of Devin Booker. His form lately has seen an improvement and he is now averaging 26 points per game, in addition to matching his career best of 6.9 assists. Booker is placed in the top ten in the entire league in both points and assists, recently becoming the leading scorer for the organization in franchise history.
Value Bets
Kyrie Irving, Over 25 Points and Over 5 Assists: Kyrie Irving has played against the Phoenix Suns on 23 separate occasions, with a career average of 23 points and 5.7 assists per game. These numbers are impressive, but his recent form since joining the Mavericks has raised his game to averaging 26 points. Our first value bet sees him post over 25 points and over 5 assists.
Kevin Durant, Over 25 Points and Over 5 Rebounds: Kevin Durant has shown many a time his world-class talent as he has averaged an impressive 25.2 points and 7.2 rebounds across 40 separate matches against the Dallas Mavericks. This season in particular he has excelled further, averaging 30 points per game. Therefore, SportsBoom concludes Durant to prop up at least 25 points and 5 rebounds.
Prediction: Dallas Mavericks to win
SportsBoom sees the Dallas Mavericks coming out on top in this matchup. The Mavericks may see the return of Anthony Davis who will be a big help, but the Phoenix Suns are in troubling form, meaning they are there for the taking. This should be a close game, as previous head-to-head matches have indicated in recent years, but the Mavericks will complete a win on their home court.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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