NBA
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Preview Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Monday 3rd March 2025 Start time: 7:30 pm local time (1:30 am BST) Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas Last meeting: February 10th, 2025, Sacramento Kings 129-128 Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks host the Sacramento Kings on Monday night at the American Airlines Center.
Zach LaVine//Getty Images
The Dallas Mavericks host the Sacramento Kings on Monday night at the American Airlines Center. This all-Western Conference matchup is an important game for both teams as they sit ninth and tenth in the league and are contesting for the play-in spots. At the time of writing, the Mavericks have lost two in a row, and they lost in overtime when they hosted the Kings in early February. Can they salvage a win?
If you're looking to bet on NBA games, this showdown presents an exciting opportunity to analyze the odds and make informed picks.
Read on to hear more about this enticing fixture with SportsBoom’s extensive preview, which includes recent head-to-head encounters between the two teams. In addition, we have provided informative insights into key players on both rosters, as well as highlighting our value bets and predictions.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
- Dallas Mavericks: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.89%
- Sacramento Kings: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.62%
- Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
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Head-to-Head Record
Both teams have faced off against each other a total of 185 times in the regular season, with the first game broadcasted in 1980. It is a close affair to this day, as the Dallas Mavericks have won 103 times compared to 82 by the Sacramento Kings.
This is the third fixture of the 2024/25 NBA season between both teams and the Kings will be looking to win three in a row after completing two close hard-fought victories earlier in the regular season. The Kings have won four of their last six meetings.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/25 Season | February 10, 2024 | Sacramento Kings 129-128 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2024/25 Season | December 30, 2024 | Sacramento Kings 110-100 Dallas Mavericks |
| 2023/24 Season | March 29, 2024 | Dallas Mavericks 107-103 Sacramento Kings |
| 2023/24 Season | March 26, 2024 | Sacramento Kings 120-115 Sacramento Kings |
| 2023/24 Season | January 27, 2024 | Sacramento Kings 129-113 Dallas Mavericks |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Dallas Mavericks
- Record: 31-28
- Home Form: 18-11
- Road Form: 13--17
Despite the move occurring a few weeks ago, the Dallas Mavericks are still adjusting to life post-Luka Doncic after trading their best player to the Los Angeles Lakers. The organization are the ninth seed in the West, placed right in the middle of the tail end of the final playoff places. The franchise recently lost to the Lakers too, to add insult to injury.
After making an impressive debut with the Mavericks after leaving the Los Angeles Lakers in part of the Doncic trade deal, Anthony Davis picked up an injury in his first game with the franchise. He will be re-evaluated just days after this encounter, but the Mavericks fans will look forward to seeing him play. He averaged 26 points and 16 rebounds before his abrupt end in the game.
Despite his absence, Kyrie Irving is the vocal point within the squad. Having played 47 games, he has stepped up since he is the sole standout shooter in the team, averaging 24.9 points, 4.7 assists and 4.8 rebounds.
Sacramento Kings
- Record: 29-28
- Home Form: 15-14
- Road Form: 14-14
The Sacramento Kings are one place behind the Dallas Mavericks in the West. The Kings have nearly the same record both at home and on the road but have one more win in front of the Sacramento faithful. The organization are an outsider for the playoffs but could sneak into the play-in positions, especially after the trade deals made at the start of February.
Firstly, De’Aaron Fox departed for the San Antonio Spurs and the Kings head office acquired Zach LaVine from the Chicago Bulls. The 29-year-old shooting guard is averaging 23.8 points for the season and is posting similar numbers to what he did at the Bulls this season, leaving an immediate impression within the roster. He has played only eight games so far, but it takes time to engrain into a new culture.
On the other side of the court, don’t forget Sacramento has Domantas Sabonis, who is taking his game to a whole new level this year in defense. He is averaging 20 points per game, his second highest in an NBA season, but also a career-best 14.5 rebounds per game. His rebounding places him as the best in the NBA as the power forward is everywhere on the court, posting 6.3 assists too.
Value Bets
Kyrie Irving, Over 25 Points and Over 5 Assists: Kyrie Irving has a career average of 23.9 points and 5.8 assists over the Sacramento Kings, but in his last five games his shooting is on a different level. Those last five games have seen an increase to 27.6 points, as the 32-year-old has posted back-to-back 30-point games. In conclusion, we predict Irving to post at least 25 points and 5 assists.
Domantas Sabonis, Over 15 Points and Over 10 Rebounds: SportsBoom assumes Domantas Sabonis to deliver yet another double-double. Astonishingly, he has completed those across 18 separate games, a truly remarkable statistic. Sabonis’ points vary per game though, hence why we have selected over 15 points. His relentless energy will be a big factor in whether the Kings pick up the win or not.
Prediction: Sacramento Kings to win
SportsBoom reckons the Sacramento Kings will win this clash due to the Dallas Mavericks not being able to select Anthony Davies. He would make a difference within the roster and given the current state of the franchise, it seems to be a bridge too far for them. The Kings need a win to close in too, therefore, the motivation will be there in this high stakes encounter which could dictate both franchises’ seasons.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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