NBA
Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
The Sacramento Kings have steadily improved their form as they look to cement a play-off place as the halfway stage of the 2024/25 NBA season approaches.
Giannis Antetokounmpo//Getty Images
The Sacramento Kings have steadily improved their form as they look to cement a play-off place as the halfway stage of the 2024/25 NBA season approaches. However, the Californian team is the 11th seed in the West. The Kings are on the road to the Bucks, a team that looks slightly off the boil despite rising to fifth after a terrible start to their campaign. Can the Bucks break away from the tight-knit Eastern Conference and catch the leading four ahead?
Get all the key information you need with SportsBoom's detailed preview of both teams ahead of this promising matchup. This article shares our value bets, plus an in-depth look at the key players and their previous head-to-head performances.
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Date: Tuesday 14th January 2025 Start time: 8 pm local time (1 am BST) Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Last meeting: March 12, 2024, Sacramento Kings 129-94 Milwaukee Bucks
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Sacramento Kings: 2/1 (3.00) – 33%
Milwaukee Bucks: 2/5 (1.40) – 67%
Forecast odds – Betting available on Stake closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
Usually, most NBA head-to-head records are very close. That’s the nature of the league. However, in the 156 regular-season games played between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Sacramento Kings, the Bucks have posted 97 victories. This superior stat has seen the Bucks truly dominate against the Kings and are closing in on achieving three-digit wins.
The Kings have won 59, and their most recent encounter was during the 2023/24 season in their most recent game. However, this win was significant for the organization, as the roster ended a 15-win streak from the Bucks, a run that started in 2016.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/24 Season | March 12, 2024 | Sacramento Kings 129-94 Milwaukee Bucks |
| 2023/24 Season | January 14, 2024 | Milwaukee Bucks 143-142 Sacramento Kings |
| 2022/23 Season | March 13, 2023 | Milwaukee Bucks 133-124 Sacramento Kings |
| 2022/23 Season | December 7, 2022 | Milwaukee Bucks 126-113 Sacramento Kings |
| 2021/22 Season | March 16, 2022 | Milwaukee Bucks 135-126 Sacramento Kings |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Sacramento Kings
- Record: 18-19
- Home Form: 10-12
- Road Form: 8-7
The Sacramento Kings have been battling equal or just below 0.500 all season and currently sit 11th in the Western Conference. Their slightly favourable road record looks impressive for teams surrounding them within their Conference, but the opposite could be said about their home record thus far.
One of the Kings’ star players is their power forward Domantas Sabonis. The Lithuanian giant is improving on his rebounds per game output per game to a record high of 13.8 per game, which places him second overall in the league. While producing the best numbers of his career in recovering the ball in offensive and defensive situations, his assists per game from last season have reduced from 8.2 per game to 6.3. He is still Sacramento’s stat leader in assists and rebounds, but he hasn’t quite matched the levels of his previous year.
De’Aaron Fox enters his eighth season with the Sacramento Kings after being selected first overall in the 2017 Draft, with his points per game steadily rising each year. His points-per-game this season has increased to 26.7, and he is improving his efficiency in free throws, too. These stats place him sixth in the entire league. Unquestionably, he will look to impress, and he is also a key provider for the team, posting 6.2 assists per game, his highest since the 2020/21 season.
Milwaukee Bucks
- Record: 18-16
- Home Form: 10-7
- Road Form: 7-9
The Milwaukee Bucks are building on breaking away from 0.500 and are currently in the top five seeds in the East. They have only played 34 games all season, whereas nearest rivals have two, three or even four more games, meaning this is the perfect opportunity to put the Bucks further up the pecking order with a consistent run of wins both home and away.
The Bucks are back on track after facing adversity at the start of the season, as Milwaukee are back in playoff contention. Their star player, Giannis Antetokounmpo, is the league’s leading scorer. In the 28 games he has played on the court this season, the Greek star averages a mesmeric 31.6 points per game. If his stat line wasn’t impressive enough, he finds himself sixth in the entire NBA with the most rebounds per game, posting 11.6 on average.
Complimenting Antetokounmpo is second-year Bucks star Damian Lillard, who provides excellent depth to the roster with his all-round offensive play. The 34-year-old is ninth and 13th in assists and points-per-game, respectively, and the former Portland star is showing his greatness with the team. Lillard might not be averaging as many points per game as he did in Portland, but his capabilities greatly help the Bucks in-depth and add much-needed firepower to the roster.
Value Bets
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Over 25 Points and Over 10 Rebounds
SportsBoom predicts Giannis Antetokounmpo will post over 25 points and 10 rebounds in this matchup with the Kings. Across all 19 games the star has played against the Californian team, he has averaged 24.1 points, but his previous six games have seen him post ridiculous numbers varying from 27 to 46 points. The 31-year-old has also compiled double digits in rebounds in six of his last seven games.
De’Aaron Fox: Over 20 Points
For the opposition, De’Aaron Fox will play a crucial role for the Kings in this matchup. He continues to deliver consistent and quality numbers despite the team being placed way down the pecking order in the Western Conference. Fox could be a significant threat, and the Kings are eyeing up a possible second win in a row against the Bucks for the first time in nearly a decade.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks to win
SportsBoom predicts the Milwaukee Bucks to win this home game against the Sacramento Kings. The Bucks are in a stronger position in their conference and have an incredibly favoured recent head-to-head record, which will bode well in their efforts to win this game. After turning their season around, the Bucks should win convincingly enough due to the extensive talent on their roster, especially Antetokounmpo and Lillard producing the key numbers across the board.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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