NBA betting tips and Predictions
Tips for NBA betting that will help you in your quest to make some money. It’s somewhat appropriate that a sport mostly played by 2 metre-plus giants has a gigantic following for it, making the NBA now one of the most followed, watched and talked about sports leagues in the world. And it’s also one that people just love wagering on, to the extent that the best NBA betting sites see small fortunes wagered on all matches, especially around the time of the Playoffs.
But there’s a lot more to it all than just picking a side to win a match. The best sites for bets on the NBA these days offer an endless number of markets covering everything from points spreads to over/under totals and endless player prop markets. With that in mind, let’s give you some tips for NBA betting that will help you in your quest to make some money.
NBA Essential Betting Tips
Be as informed as possible
As far as NBA sports betting tips go, this is both one of the more obvious ones and one of
the most important ones.
The major sports news sites, the NBA’s own site and other specialist NBA sites are a good starting point when it comes to being well-informed about the availability of players, the latest injury news on them and any other factors that may affect a team’s performance on the day.
But perhaps even better than that is knowing who to follow on social media. Nowhere does news travel faster than on the likes of X and Instagram, where journalists, fans, tipsters and sometimes even the players themselves keep you up-to-date on all the latest developments, almost in real time. Beware the ‘fake news’ though!
Winning tipsters are worth their weight in gold
Most punters bet on the NBA as a hobby or as a side hustle to their full-time job. Some do it for a living, while others provide NBA tips for betting as their livelihood.
That’s great news for you because it means they’re the ones prepared to put in the hard yards so that punters like yourself don’t have to. All you have to do is follow them and you should be up in the long run.
But you need to know which are the real deal and which are frauds. At any site providing betting tips NBA, the tipster’s Profit and Loss should be clearly displayed. Any sort of profit is good because this is a hard thing to win money on but be sure to monitor that ongoing P and L for at least a couple of weeks to make sure it’s all by the book, before loyally following their NBA betting tips.
Some tipping sites need you to pay a fee to access them; that’s ok as long as it isn’t too expensive, and that the tipster’s long-term performance justifies it.
Better value on side markets
On any given match, the majority of the money is placed on the money line (straight match winner) or the spreads. This means two things: firstly, these are the markets that the bookies most focus on when it comes to their research so the odds are likely to be spot on, thus not offering any betting value. (see below)
Secondly, any early value is likely to be snapped up by punters who see those goods odds first because those are the markets that are monitored the most.
All in all, you’re far more likely to find value in the side markets like player props ones, where the bookies haven’t dedicated as much time to pricing them up and where the early value, if there is some, is less likely to be uncovered by other gamblers.
Don’t underestimate the fatigue factor
The NBA has 82 regular-season games which is extremely demanding on the players given the non-stop nature of the game involving constant jumping, running and shooting.
How much of a rest did key players get in the previous game? Was the team ahead by a lot and able to rest some star names? Did they play the night before or have a two or three-day rest ahead of this one? What about the opposition? When did they last play? How far do they need to travel for their next match?
How well rested the major players are an extremely important consideration, especially for the latter stages of a game where energy levels are low.
And following on from that., consider bench strength. If a team can bring on high-class players for the tiring ones, that’s a big plus. If the bench players are a couple of notches below the starters, that could be a concern.
Advanced NBA Betting Tips for Experienced Bettors
Always bet based on betting value
This isn’t just specific to NBA betting but rather, relevant to all betting.
If you decide that particular bet should be available at 2.0 and is 2.0, that’s an ok bet.
If you decide that a bet should be 2.0 and it’s only 1.8, that’s a poor value bet because the payouts are lower than they should be; and that’s assuming it wins!
But if a wager is available at 2.2 on a selection you think should be 1.9 or 2.0, then that’s a good value bet because you’ll receive more than you think you should have.
Consistently betting at higher odds than bets should be is one of the most valuable NBA betting tips you’ll hear and something you should aim for all the time.
Line Shopping
These days there are literally hundreds of betting sites available to you so it would be a missed opportunity if you weren’t to take advantage of that.
If the New York Knicks are 2.1 to beat the LA Lakers at most sportsbooks but considerably bigger at 2.3 with a particular one, then it’s a no-brainer that’s the Sportsbook you want to place the bet at. Line shopping- looking around for the biggest odds- is another factor that will make a big difference to your P and L.
Betting Trends
You’d be amazed at how history can repeat itself when it comes to NBA matches.
Some sides have a habit of beating better, higher-ranked teams time and again for whatever reason. Even though this is factored into the odds already, sometimes it’s not factored in enough.
Similarly, some matches between two particular sides may often produce unusually low or high scoring matches so look at the past to try to predict the future.
Live Betting
Live betting can help you secure some good profits.
Firstly, in that Cash Out available during live betting gives you an opportunity to secure a profit on a bet that’s going well but isn’t quite over the line. If you feel it’s the right thing to do, bank some profit while you can.
Live betting also allows for some opportunities based on trends. If a team is a notoriously slow starter, you’re better off backing that team after the first quarter at far bigger odds when they’re likely to be losing. than pre-match at what were the lower odds.
Similarly, if you know a team has the tendency to implode in the latter stages of a match, it might be worth opposing them when they’re ahead, in live betting.