NFL
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Get ready for an NFC showdown that could stir the pot big-time: Week 16 brings us the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium, on Sunday, December 22, 1:00 PM ET. Early predictions from Dimers’ trusty NFL model are rolling with Philly as the favorite to come out on top in this crucial battle.
A.J. Brown and Mike Sainristil//Getty Images
Washington flexed some literal grit with a road win over the Saints last weekend, piling up 326 total yards and 23 first downs. But Jeez, those penalties (nine for 84 yards) turned the game into quite a mess. Their defense has been legit lately, holding opponents to under 20 points in back-to-back games. But against Philly’s high-flying offense? Seems like a tall order. In their last encounter on Nov. 15, the Eagles snagged a 26-18 win at home.
With Philly’s defense holding rivals below 21 points in six straight games, Washington will need an almost-perfect performance. Expect a battle, but Philly's overall consistency should see them emerge with the win. Check out the best NFL betting list offers.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders, 22 December match details
Kickoff Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
Location: Northwest Stadium, Maryland
Last meeting: Philadelphia Eagles 26-18 Washington Commanders (Nov. 15, 2024 | NFL)
Odds and Betting Tips
The Eagles are charging into Week 16 as favorites with a 3.5-point spread against the Commanders. The moneyline odds show Philly at -170, while Washington sits at +142. The Over/Under total stands at 45.5 points (-110 each way).
Straight Up Win Probabilities: Machine simulations give the Eagles a 63% chance of winning, while Washington holds a 37% shot.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Philadelphia Eagles: 59/100 (1.59) - 63% chance to win
Washington Commanders: 3/2 (2.50) - 37% chance to win
*Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change
Betting Tips You Need to Consider
Eagles to Win (Moneyline) – Philly's rolling with a near-perfect season form and a defense boasting 39 sacks and 8 interceptions. Take that -170 line confidently.
Over 45.5 Total Points – Both offenses have the potential to light up the scoreboard. Expect an over/under push where a fast-paced game could see more than 50% likelihood of going Over 45.5 points.
Commanders +3.5 Spread – Washington’s got resilience in their offense, with Jayden Daniels delivering consistently and Brian Robinson leading a solid rushing attack. At +3.5, it’s a smart bet for extra cushion.
Bet wisely – with insights and stats painting a closely contested game, Philly’s strength and Washington’s grit could make this one worth watching.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders Head-to-Head Record
In their last five meetings, the Eagles secured four wins, including a 26-18 victory on Nov 15, 2024, and a strong 38-31 win on Oct 29, 2023. Washington got one back with a 32-21 win on Nov 15, 2022.
Last Five Meetings (NFL)
15/11/24: Philadelphia Eagles 26-18 Washington Commanders
29/10/23: Philadelphia Eagles 38-31 Washington Commanders
01/10/23: Philadelphia Eagles 34-31 Washington Commanders
15/11/22: Philadelphia Eagles 21-32 Washington Commanders
25/09/22: Philadelphia Eagles 24-8 Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles: Current Form
The Eagles are on fire, like unstoppable levels of fire. After a shaky 2-2 start, Philly hit their groove post-bye week and have been stacking Ws ever since. Ten straight wins? That’s not luck, y’all — that’s dominance.
Last week’s 27-13 victory over the Steelers was a classic Eagles performance: steady, composed, and all about the second half. Jalen Hurts continues to do it all, dropping 290 passing yards and two TDs. A.J. Brown? The guy’s a walking highlight reel with 110 yards and a TD last game.
Defensively, Philly’s been eating. Zack Baun’s racking up tackles like it’s a hobby (134 total this season), while Josh Sweat and crew are terrorizing QBs with 39 combined sacks.
Key players to watch
- Jalen Hurts: Philly's dual-threat QB is a nightmare for defenses. With 2,892 passing yards, 18 TDs, and 589 rushing yards, he combines power and precision that few can match.
- A.J. Brown: The team’s top receiver, with 946 yards and 5 TDs, A.J. Brown’s speed and hands make him a constant deep threat on the field.
- Zack Baun: On defense, Baun leads with 134 total tackles, including 3.5 sacks. His ability to cover ground and pressure opponents makes him the cornerstone of Philly’s defense.
Home Team News
The Commanders are heading into a must-win Week 16 showdown against the Eagles with some major injury setbacks. In Sunday’s clash with the Saints, they were already down two key receivers. Austin Ekeler landed on IR after a concussion in Week 12, and Noah Brown joined him on Saturday. That left Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz as the go-to guys in the passing game.
McLaurin showed why he’s the real deal, hauling in seven passes for 73 yards and two TDs. With 11 receiving TDs this season, he’s sitting pretty in second place across the NFL. But the real drama came with Ertz. He made a sick one-handed grab but took a brutal hit that sent him straight to the medical tent, ruled out with a concussion.
Things got even trickier in the second half when starting safety Jeremy Chinn left the game with a concussion, too. Chinn’s been a rock on defense all season, ranking second in tackles with 93 — right behind Bobby Wagner.
Coach Quinn’s got some work to do with these injuries. He talked about shaking up the game plan with new offensive and defensive packages, maybe adding more run-heavy looks or shifting to wild receiver-heavy sets.
If Washington wants to take down Philly, they need to find a way to compensate fast. Losing Ertz and Chinn would be a huge hit, and with everything on the line, every second counts.
Washington Commanders: Current Form
Man, the Commanders have been riding the ups and downs train this season. Early wins against teams like the Giants, Bengals, and Panthers made it look like smooth sailing. But then, the tides turned. Losses to the Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys threw them off course. Still, they managed to flip the script with crucial wins over the Titans and Saints.
Coming off their bye, they pulled out a wild 20-19 win against the Saints. Up 14-0 early, things got dicey, but they clutched it out. Jayden Daniels threw for 226 yards, snagged two TDs, and even led the rush with 66 yards. That’s a QB doing it all.
On the ground, they’ve got a solid engine with Brian Robinson Jr. leading the way. The Commanders’ rushing game is churning out 156.9 yards a game. Meanwhile, their defense is holding it together with Bobby Wagner’s 109 tackles and Dante Fowler Jr.’s 8.5 sacks.
Key Players to Watch
- Jayden Daniels: Daniels is the heartbeat of the offense, boasting a consistent connection with receivers. In 11 of the Commanders' 14 games against NFC opponents, he's achieved 200+ passing yards. His ability to deliver clutch touchdowns and connect on deep throws makes him a game-changer.
- Brian Robinson Jr.: Robinson brings explosive energy to the ground game. He’s found the end zone in 10 of his last 11 road appearances. Against NFC foes, he’s consistently racked up over 63 rushing yards in his past five matchups, solidifying his role as the driving force of the rushing attack.
- Terry McLaurin: Washington’s top receiving threat, McLaurin, ranks T1st in the NFC for receiving touchdowns this season with 9. His reliability in crucial moments and ability to make contested catches on tough routes keep defenses on high alert every game.
Away Team News
Jalen Hurts is toughing it out with a broken finger, and he’s not letting it slow him down. After Philly’s 27-13 win, Hurts admitted his ring finger on the left hand is broken. “It is broke and it affected my play,” he said, though he added it didn’t get any worse during the game.
Hurts still balled out, going 25-of-32 for 290 yards and 2 TDs, plus adding a rushing TD on 15 carries for 45 yards. Even with a busted finger, he managed to keep the offense rolling.
Saquon Barkley had his own injury scare, heading into the medical tent late in the second quarter but coming back to finish with 65 yards on 19 carries. On the O-line, Landon Dickerson exited in the third with a knee issue, replaced by Tyler Steen, who had a rough moment with two holding calls.
Not stopping there, backup safety Sydney Brown got knocked out early with a concussion on the kickoff, while cornerback Darius Slay hurt his leg mid-second quarter.
The Eagles’ injury list is piling up, but with Hurts pushing through pain and the backups stepping up, Philly’s resilience keeps them a formidable contender.
Value Bets
Alright, let’s get you set up with some quirked-out value bets for this NFC East showdown. No fluff, just straight-up smart punts that could bring back the cash.
Anytime Touchdown – QB Surprise: QBs don’t just throw; sometimes they bulldoze. Hurts or Robinson, someone’s sneaking in a goal-line hustle. When you’re betting, don’t sleep on those QB end-zone dives.
(Odds: Looking juicy on Betway and 1Win)Receiver Explosion – McLaurin Over 60 Yards: Terry McLaurin is like that dude at a party who always makes a splash. Tied for NFC top-receiver touchdowns, expect him to connect with big plays. Philly’s defense? Let’s just say things could get interesting.
(Odds: Worth the shot on Betway and 1Win)Ground Game Power Play – Running Back TDs: Brian Robinson Jr. is bringing that running back energy. 705 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns. Against Philly? He’ll be charging through defenses like it owes him money.
(Odds: Solid bang-for-your-buck on Betway)Lock these bets in — these value picks are quirky, confident, and ready to pay off. Let’s ride the vibes.
Top Scorers/Players For Both Teams
Ready for some NFC East fireworks? Let’s break down the key players who’ll be bringing the boom for Philly and Washington.
Eagles: Jalen Hurts is like that Swiss Army knife QB — throwing, running, scoring — you name it. He’s got almost 3,000 passing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns this season. A.J. Brown? That guy’s a catch machine, snagging almost 1,000 yards and 5 TDs. On defense, Zack Baun is the guy laying hits like it’s his job (oh wait, it is). Philly’s defense packs a punch with sacks and interceptions that can turn any game on its head.
- Commanders: Washington brings the swagger with Jayden Daniels at QB, tossing bombs with a 69.6% completion rate. Then there’s Terry McLaurin, lighting up the NFC with 9 receiving touchdowns. Don’t forget Brian Robinson Jr., who’s turning heads with a mean rushing game and solid touchdown numbers. Defensively, Bobby Wagner holds it down, tackling everything in sight with that veteran grit.
Both teams have firepower for days. Philly’s mix of offense and defense is tough, while Washington’s explosive plays and gritty ground game keep things interesting.
Prediction: Eagles Take the Win
Prediction: Eagles Win 33-24
Philly’s on a tear, and they’re not stopping now. Jalen Hurts is dropping bombs both in the air and on-ground, while the Eagles' defense — packing 39 sacks and 8 INTs — will make stuff tough for Jayden Daniels and the Commanders.
Washington’s offense might’ve looked strong early in the season, but it’s not the same beast anymore. With struggles against elite defenses and Philly’s secondary ready to pounce, they’re in for a rough ride.
All things considered, the Eagles are set to dominate. We’re calling a 33-24 win for Philly at Northwest Stadium in Week 16.
Heena Singh is your go-to NFL writer with a knack for turning the gridiron’s biggest moments into must-read stories. She brings a unique mix of sharp insights and quirky vibes, breaking down every touchdown, fumble, and post-game drama like a pro. A die-hard fan of the Kansas City Chiefs (and yes, Patrick Mahomes is her guy), Heena knows how to keep football fans hooked.