Successful NFL Betting Strategies

Point spread betting is the most popular form of NFL wagering. It levels the playing field by giving the underdog a points advantage or the favourite a points disadvantage.

Example: If the New England Patriots are favoured by -7.5 points against the Miami Dolphins, the Patriots must win by 8 points or more for a bet on them to win. Conversely, a bet on the Dolphins would win if they lose by 7 points or less or win the game outright

A straightforward bet, an NFL moneyline betting strategy involves picking which team will win the game outright, without any point spreads.

Example: If the moneyline for the Kansas City Chiefs is -200 and for the Denver Broncos is +180, a $200 bet on the Chiefs would win $100 if they win, while a $100 bet on the Broncos would win $180 if they win

Also known as totals betting, an NFL over under betting strategy is when you wager on the total number of points scored in a game by both teams combined.

Example: If the Over/Under line is set at 48.5 points for a game between the Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers, you can bet on whether the total points scored will be over or under 48.5

NFL parlay betting strategy is when you combine multiple bets into one wager, with the condition that all bets (legs) must win for the parlay to pay out

Example: A parlay might include a moneyline bet on the Patriots, a point spread bet on the Cowboys, and an over/under bet on the Chiefs game. All three bets must win for the parlay to be successful

In futures betting, you bet on long-term outcomes, such as which team will win the Super Bowl, conference championships, or division titles.

Example: Placing a bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl before the season starts

An NFL live betting strategy is when you bet on a game while it’s in progress, with odds that change based on the game’s developments.

Example: Betting on the next team to score or the outcome of the next drive during the game

As you can probably guess, half/quarter betting is when you predict the outcome of specific halves or quarters of a game.

Example: Betting on the score of the first half or the winner of the third quarter

NFL teaser betting strategy is a parlay where you can adjust the point spreads or totals in your favour in exchange for a lower payout

Example: In a 6-point teaser, if the original spread is -7 for the Packers, you can adjust it to -1, making it easier for the Packers to cover the spread

The opposite of a teaser, here you adjust the point spread against your favor for a higher payout.

Example: If the original spread is -7 for the Packers, you adjust it to -13, increasing the difficulty but also the potential payout

●    Study team performance: Analyse teams' past performances, including win/loss records, offensive and defensive statistics, and player injuries. Pay attention to how teams perform at home versus away

●    Player analysis: Keep track of key players' form, injury status, and historical performance against specific opponents. Star players' availability can significantly impact a team's chances
Understand betting lines and value
●    Shop around: Compare betting lines across multiple sportsbooks to find the best odds. Small differences in lines can lead to better returns in the long run

●    Identify value bets: Look for lines that offer good value based on your research. A value bet is one where you believe the sportsbook has underestimated the true probability of an outcome

●    Set a budget: Determine how much money you are willing to risk and stick to it. Never bet more than you can afford to lose

●    Avoid chasing losses: Stick to your strategy and avoid making impulsive bets to recover from losses. Chasing losses can lead to poor decision-making and further losses

●    Focus on specific markets: Specializing in a particular type of bet, such as point spreads or player props, can help you develop expertise and make more informed decisions

●    Leverage your knowledge: Use your knowledge of teams, players, and matchups to find edges in less popular markets where lines may be less accurate

●    Weather conditions: Weather can significantly impact game outcomes, especially in outdoor stadiums. Consider how rain, wind, or snow might affect the teams' performance and game strategy

●    Travel and rest: Teams traveling across time zones or playing on short rest may be at a disadvantage. Factor in travel schedules and rest days when making your bets