Rugby
Six Nations Wales vs England Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction
Wales and England face off in the Principality Stadium on Saturday, March 15, for their final Six Nations game. Dubbed “Super Saturday”, the best rugby betting sites will plug odds for this game that could have big implications in terms of the final standings. The Six Nations finale is often dramatic, but both Wales and England are on different trajectories. Things have unravelled for Wales with Warren Gatland leaving by mutual consent during the campaign after a run of 14 Test defeats.
Ben Earl of England//Getty Images
England, meanwhile, are in the running for the title, and Steve Borthwick has turned things around. SportsBoom has provided a full Wales vs England preview, and of course, included odds from rugby betting sportsbooks.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
To influence our Wales vs England predictions, we have compared odds from online betting sites.
The following prices suggest the visitors could come out on top.
- Home Win: 33/10 (4.30) – 23.3%
- Draw: 29/1 (30.00) – 3.3%
- Away Win: 23/100 (1.23) – 81.3%
Head-to-Head Record
Reliable bookmakers for betting usually have stats as part of their pre-match packs. We have provided the results between these two sides over the past five editions of the Six Nations to see how the land lies:
Last Five Meetings
| Year | Venue | Result |
| 2024 | Twickenham, England | England 16-14 Wales |
| 2023 | Principality Stadium, Wales | Wales 10-20 England |
| 2022 | Twickenham, England | England 23-19 Wales |
| 2021 | Principality Stadium, Wales | Wales 40-England 24 |
| 2020 | Twickenham, England | England 33-30 Wales |
Wales Current Form – LLLL
Wales’ demise has been painful for rugby fans to see, and they are still searching for their first win of the campaign.
The departure of Warren Gatland has added to the upheaval, and they are locked in a race with Italy to avoid being awarded the Wooden Spoon. The pre-match betting odds for Wales against England aren’t too promising.
Key Players to Watch
- Max Llewellyn: The Gloucester centre is often energetic, and it seems baffling he was omitted from Wales’ original Six Nations squad. Although his first try came in a losing cause against Scotland last weekend (29-35), he did help Wales get a bonus point.
- Tomos Williams: His work-rate is exceptional and the scrum-half gave arguably his best performance in a Wales shirt against Scotland. If he hits his stride early on, England could find it hard to keep him quiet.
- Nicky Smith: Another key cog in the scrum department, Nicky Smith is usually a willing carrier, and he will try to take the threat to the visitors.
Wales Team News
Wales will be without two wingers (Josh Adams and Tom Rogers) who have been ruled out. Adams missed the last two Six Nations games with a hamstring injury, while Rogers requires surgery after sustaining a fractured thumb during the defeat against Scotland at Murrayfield.
England Current Form (LWWW)
There were underlying concerns about England going into the 2025 Six Nations campaign, however, they have largely been resolved.
A 27-22 defeat in the opening round against Ireland wasn’t as damaging as people first thought, and they have gone from strength to strength.
Steve Borthwick’s charges are in the picture for the Six Nations title, and after a rampant 47-24 win over Italy last weekend, they will approach this game in bullish mood.
Key Players to Watch
- Maro Itoje: The England captain is always prepared to do the dirty work, and it is like coming up against a brick wall. He has marshalled England well defensively, and he will likely come to the fore against Wales.
- Jamie George: His longevity is explained by the fact he picked up his 100th cap in the win over Italy. Jamie George was targeted by Ange Capuozzo for Italy’s second try during a kick chase, so he will need to be on guard, but he’s adept.
- Ollie Sleightholme: So far, Ollie Sleightholme has proved his worth for England during the Six Nations, and he’s good when under pressure dealing with high balls. Kicking could be key against Wales as the hosts won’t mind making things scrappy.
England Team News
England have called Bath centre Max Ojomoh into training as a squad replacement for Ollie Lawerence who has been sidelined with an Achilles tendon injury.
This means Henry Slade is set to return to the fold, while Elliot Daly has also been promising in a more advanced role.
Predicted Line-Ups
Wales
Forwards:
- Props (1 & 3): Nicky Smith, WillGriff John
- Hooker (2): Elliott Dee
- Locks (4 & 5): Will Rowlands & Dafydd Jenkins
- Flankers (6 & 7): Jac Morgan (captain), Tommy Reffell
- Number 8: Taulupe Faletau
Backs:
- Scrum Half (9): Tomos Williams
- Fly-Half (10): Jarrod Evans
- Centres (12 & 13): Ben Thomas, Max Llewellyn
- Wings (11 & 14): Ellis Mee, Josh Hathaway
- Fullback (15): Gareth Anscombe
England
Forwards:
- Props (1 & 3): Ellis Genge (vice-captain), Will Stuart
- Hooker (2): Jamie George (vice-captain)
- Locks (4 & 5): Maro Itoje (captain), Ollie Chessum
- Flankers (6 & 7): Tom Curry, Ben Earl
- Number 8: Tom Willis
Backs:
- Scrum Half (9): Alex Mitchell
- Fly-Half (10): Fin Smith
- Centres (12 & 13): Fraser Dingwall, Henry Slade
- Wings (11 & 14): Ollie Sleightholme, Tommy Freeman
- Fullback (15): Elliot Daly
Suggested Bets
We have outlined some suggested Wales vs England betting odds for you to explore:
England Double Chance: With the Six Nations title on the line, there is plenty at stake. The Principality Stadium will be like a cauldron, but we can’t see England leaving empty-handed, so England to win or draw will see a return on your stake (9/50 with 1xBet)
England to win Race to 10 Points: England have in the past been good frontrunners. If on song, they should win the Race to 10 points line (7/20 with Betway)
First try to be converted: Borthwick’s men arguably had some luck go their way with Scotland’s missed conversions and penalties. We think that whoever scores the first try won’t make any mistakes with the conversion. (7/25 with Sportsbet.io)
Value Bets
There will always be plenty of rugby betting offers flying about, including free bets and other welcome bonuses to take advantage of.
We always have the best interests of punters, and we have supplied more rugby betting tips for Wales vs England:
England & Under 56.5 points: England are trying to rekindle their form from a few years ago when they used to blow away teams. Although they put Italy to the sword, we don’t think this will be a high-scoring game. England to win & Under 56.5 points seems fair. (6/5 with Stake)
England to win by 8-14 points: England may have only scraped past Scotland and France and Italy were easy fodder. Although Wales should be a tougher challenger than Italy, the visitors to win by 8-14 points is tempting. (31/10 with Betway)
First Half Total Points Under 27.5: Wales could be pensive, while England
have struggled to build phases during the first 40 minutes. The Under 27.5
points line seems appealing. (79/100 with N1Bet)
Prediction: England to Win and by 10 points
We’re confident about England’s chances and they are in a great position going into their final game. They can only keep to their end of the bargain and hope Scotland do them a favour.
Borthwick’s men should have too much for Wales, and while it might not be as emphatic a scoreline as the Italy game, England to win by 10 points seems reasonable.
Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.
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